C3.ai, Inc. (AI)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$10.46-4.04%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put AI beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Systems Software is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Operating cash flow improves from negative levels: FY26 OCF -$190.2M vs >-$54M target.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 36% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 61% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskC3.ai's growth trajectory relies on its ability to increase topline revenue growth. The company recently issued Q2 FY27 revenue guidance of $51M-$55M, which is below analyst expectations of $56.6M. Revenue grew 25% year over year in Q1 FY27, and the last quarter beat expectations. C3.ai trades at 5.9× price-to-sales, above the 4.7× peer median, indicating that the price reflects less growth than we forecast. The primary risk is that if C3.ai cuts guidance on the next call, it could lead to a significant decline in stock value. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% above where it trades.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. AI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 14 analysts currently covering AI (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for AI in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare AI with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Free account required to save the handoff. No credit card.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Systems Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put AI next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase topline revenue growth
Bookings surge indicates strong topline revenue growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $10.46
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $10.46.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Increase topline revenue growth
Revenue targets align with growth objectives and indicate progress.
Advances: Increase topline revenue growth
Revenue beat supports growth objective.
Threatens: Increase topline revenue growth
Share slip indicates market concerns despite revenue beat.
Leadership changes may impact management's effectiveness.
Threatens: Drive revenue growth and meet guidance
Revenue slip indicates challenges in meeting growth guidance.
CEO selling shares raises concerns about confidence.
Threatens: Focus on reducing operating losses
Wider losses indicate challenges in reducing operating losses.