Amphenol (APH)
NYSEInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$82.78+0.87%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · APH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -37.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 29.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 67.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers
APH — dividend update
Dated 2026-09-04
Other Events. On August 6, 2026, Amphenol Corporation (the “Company”) announced that its Board of Directors approved the third quarter 2026 dividend on its Class A Common Stock (the “Common Stock”) in the amount of $0.25 per share. The dividend will be paid on October 14, 2026 to shareholders of record as of September 22, 2026. On August 6, 2026, the Company also announced the approval of a two-for-one stock split of the Common Stock in the form of a stock dividend to be distributed on Septem…
Why it matters: What happens with the recent debt issuance will impact cash flow and investment plans.
Watch forManagement reports better cash flow or smart investments made possible by the new debt.
Also watch forManagement mentions a higher debt load or cash flow worries after the debt issuance.
Why it matters: The stock split may attract more investors and increase liquidity. It reflects management's confidence.
Supportive ifThe stock split is executed as planned on September 2, 2026.
Worry ifThe stock split is delayed or canceled.
Why it matters: Earnings above this level show strong profits and good operations.
Supportive ifAdjusted Diluted EPS is at least $1.40.
Worry ifAdjusted Diluted EPS falls below $1.40.
Why it matters: This EPS guidance indicates profitability and growth. It shows how well Amphenol is managing costs.
Supportive ifAdjusted Diluted EPS for Q3 2026 reported within $1.40 to $1.42.
Worry ifAdjusted Diluted EPS for Q3 2026 falls below $1.40.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$198 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $444 loss on $10,000 · 4.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,819 loss on $10,000 · 28.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Good integration would increase sales and EPS, showing growth.
Supportive ifCommScope CCS contributes $4.6 billion in sales and $0.30 in EPS accretion.
Worry ifCommScope CCS fails to meet revised sales and EPS targets.
Why it matters: A good integration will show if Amphenol can grow through acquisitions. It shows how well management can increase market share.
Supportive ifThe CommScope CCS acquisition adds at least $0.30 to Adjusted Diluted EPS in 2026.
Worry ifThe CommScope CCS acquisition does not help earnings.
Why it matters: A drop below this level shows weaker profits. This may raise cost management concerns.
Worry ifOperating margin is 29% or higher.
Less concerning ifThe operating margin is less than 29%.
Why it matters: A high operating margin shows strong profits and good cost control.
Supportive ifThe adjusted operating margin was over 29% for Q3.
Worry ifThe adjusted operating margin was below 29% for Q3.
Why it matters: The stock split might change how investors see the company. It could improve liquidity and bring in new investors.
Watch forPositive market reaction post-split, with share price stability or growth.
Also watch forNegative market reaction post-split, with share price decline.
Why it matters: Recent debt issuance will show how it affects Amphenol's balance sheet. This will show stability.
Worry ifDebt ratios improve or remain stable post-issuance.
Less concerning ifDebt ratios get worse after the recent debt issuances.
Why it matters: This sales range shows if Amphenol can keep its growth momentum. Strong sales confirm ongoing demand.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 sales reported within the range of $8.1 billion to $8.2 billion.
Worry ifQ2 2026 sales fall below $8.1 billion.
Why it matters: Successful integration can boost sales and expand market reach. It is key for future growth.
Supportive ifManagement shares good news. They are integrating the CCS business and growing sales.
Worry ifManagement says there are big problems. They are having trouble with the CCS business.
Why it matters: Sales above this range would show strong demand and growth momentum in key markets.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 sales reported at or above $9.3 billion.
Worry ifQ3 2026 sales fall below $9.3 billion.