Apollo Global Management (APO)
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-07-07
$119.32-2.33%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $119.32. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $119 APO trades at 14× p/e, below its 19× p/e peer median. Our $124 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $74.97 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $98.01 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $112.74 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $110.84 | 1.7 | 66.46 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $139.75 | 13.8 | 10.09 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $157.67 | 18.6 | 8.50 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $157.17 | 3.0 | 53.05 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $150.29 | 17.7 | 8.50 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $73.55 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $133.02 | 15.6 | 8.50 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $153.80 | 18.6 | 8.29 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $168.58 | 1.7 | 101.07 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $97.00 | 13.8 | 7.01 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $239.80 | 18.6 | 12.93 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $228.58 | 17.7 | 12.93 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $202.30 | 15.6 | 12.93 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $222.95 | 1.7 | 133.67 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $76.04 | 13.8 | 5.49 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $317.14 | 18.6 | 17.10 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $302.29 | 17.7 | 17.10 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $267.55 | 15.6 | 17.10 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.