Apollo Global Management (APO)
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-05
$117.27-4.47%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · APO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -18.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -22.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 25 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
APO — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-03
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 3, 2026, Apollo Global Management, Inc. (“Apollo”) issued a summary press release and a detailed earnings presentation announcing its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the summary press release and the earnings presentation are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, and incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: Two recent filings were tagged as earnings misses. Q3 results can show whether that concern persists.
Worry ifThe November 3 results show an earnings miss or report lower earnings than Q2.
Less concerning ifThe November 3 results do not show an earnings miss and report higher earnings than Q2.
Why it matters: The sector is still growing, but its trend is easing. A drop below median growth could add pressure to Apollo's market setting.
Worry ifFinancial sector revenue growth falls below its median, as tracked by the sector data.
Less concerning ifFinancial sector revenue growth stays at or above its median.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$126 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $413 loss on $10,000 · 4.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,403 loss on $10,000 · 34.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.