ASCENT SOLAR TECHNOLOGIES INC (ASTI)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.13+3.64%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ASTI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 73.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 100.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 26.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ASTI — debt issuance
Dated 2026-06-26
Other Events. As previously disclosed, on May 16, 2024, Ascent Solar Technologies, Inc., a Delaware corporation (“we,” “us,” the “Company” or “Ascent”), entered into an At The Market Offering Agreement (the “ATM Agreement”) with H.C. Wainwright & Co., LLC, as sales agent (“Wainwright”), to sell shares of its common stock, par value $0.0001 per share (the “Shares”), with an aggregate sales price of initially up to $4,219,000, from time to time, through an “at the market offering” program. As p…
Why it matters: Hitting this revenue target shows progress toward the $25M-$40M goal for 2027.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at or above $1 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $1 million.
Why it matters: Meeting this revenue goal is key for long-term success and growth.
Supportive ifQuarterly revenue reaches at least $5 million, showing growth towards the target.
Worry ifQuarterly revenue is below $5 million, showing slower growth.
Why it matters: If losses drop below -$1.5M, it shows better cost management. This means more money from operations.
Supportive ifIn Q3, operating losses were below -$1.5M.
Worry ifQ3 operating losses reported at or worse than -$1.5M.
Why it matters: Raising capital is key for running the business and growing. It shows that investors trust the company.
Supportive ifThey announced plans to raise money through private placements.
Worry ifNo announcements of capital raised through private placements in the next few months.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$503 on $10,000 · ±5.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,253 loss on $10,000 · 12.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,907 loss on $10,000 · 69.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Stable leadership can help investors feel confident. It is important for guiding the company.
Supportive ifThere was news about new contracts for key executives.
Worry ifThere are no updates on executive contracts.
Why it matters: Improving operating income signals better cost management. This is key for future growth.
Supportive ifOperating income improves to better than -$1,900,000 in Q2 2026.
Worry ifOperating income worsens or stays worse than -$1,900,000 in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is key to reaching the $25M-$40M target by 2027. A strong trend shows progress.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue shows a year-over-year increase greater than 100%.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue growth is less than 50% year over year.