ATLASCLEAR HOLDINGS INC (ATCH)
AMEXFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.19-0.99%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ATCH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -42.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 39.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 82.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of —
ATCH — earnings in line
Dated 2026-05-13
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 13, 2026, AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing certain financial results for the fiscal quarter and nine months ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. This information is intended to be furnished under
Why it matters: Amending this plan is important for talent retention. It affects employee motivation.
Supportive ifChanges to the Equity Incentive Plan will be announced.
Worry ifNo updates or delays in amending the plan.
Why it matters: Lowering debts helps financial health and supports growth plans.
Supportive ifTotal liabilities decrease by at least $5 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifTotal liabilities go up or do not drop as expected.
Why it matters: Revenue growth shows how well AtlasClear is growing and competing in the market.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth was below 60% compared to last year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 60% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Finishing this deal is important for AtlasClear's growth and service.
Supportive ifA formal announcement will confirm the deal with Commercial Bancorp is done.
Worry ifThere are reports of more delays in the acquisition process.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$248 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $884 loss on $10,000 · 8.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,932 loss on $10,000 · 89.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A drop could show less demand in financial services, which may hurt AtlasClear.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below 13% year over year.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above 13% year over year.
Why it matters: Growth in this area is important for AtlasClear's ability to earn money.
Supportive ifStock locate and securities lending revenue grows each year. It has reached over $3 million.
Worry ifRevenue from stock locate and securities lending drops below $3 million year over year.