Acuity Brands (AYI)
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$323.31-4.19%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AYI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -15.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 5.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 21.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AYI — officer change
Dated 2026-09-29
Director — Nick Tzitzon: The filing discloses the routine election of a new director to an expanded board, which is a standard governance action rather than an executive departure.
Why it matters: AIS was the main growth engine in fiscal 2026. Continued growth would support management’s plan to scale this business.
Supportive ifAIS quarterly net sales grow more than 15% year over year in the next reported quarter.
Worry ifAIS quarterly net sales growth falls below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: The reported results are preliminary until the audit is done. The 10-K will confirm the final results and internal control review.
Watch forThe 10-K confirms the fiscal 2026 results without a material change to reported sales or earnings.
Also watch forThe 10-K makes a major change to reported sales or earnings. Or it reports a major weakness in internal controls.
Why it matters: Cash flow supports debt repayment, share buybacks, and dividends. Fiscal 2026 operating cash flow was $825.6 million.
Supportive ifFull-year operating cash flow is at least $825 million in the next annual results.
Worry ifFull-year operating cash flow falls below $600 million.
Why it matters: ABL sales fell in fiscal 2026, and adjusted operating profit also declined. A return to growth would show better results in the larger segment.
Supportive ifABL's adjusted operating profit grows year over year in the next quarter report.
Worry ifABL adjusted operating profit falls at least 5% year over year again.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$143 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $328 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,152 loss on $10,000 · 31.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.