Boeing (BA)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$177.00+2.13%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -34.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 12.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 47.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 22 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BA — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-27
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 27, 2026, The Boeing Company issued a press release reporting its financial results for the third quarter of 2026. A copy of the Company’s press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
Why it matters: The August filing reports a new 364-day credit deal. A renewal or draw would show whether Boeing still needs extra funding support.
Watch forBoeing reports the $3 billion facility is still undrawn, or replaced with no larger credit line.
Also watch forBoeing reports a draw on the $3 billion facility or adds a larger short-term credit line.
Why it matters: Boeing had negative free cash flow for the first nine months. A positive full-year result would mark a cash improvement.
Supportive ifBoeing reports positive free cash flow for all of 2026, above the nine-month total of negative $359 million.
Worry ifBoeing reports full-year 2026 free cash flow at or below negative $359 million.
Why it matters: The Navy picked Boeing for its next fighter, but the award is not yet in backlog. A final contract would give clearer evidence of its value.
Supportive ifBoeing confirms the F/A-XX contract after the Navy review and adds the order to its reported backlog.
Worry ifThe Navy review ends without a Boeing contract, or Boeing says the award is not moving forward.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$103 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $313 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,371 loss on $10,000 · 33.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.