Boeing (BA)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
$212.25+0.83%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 27.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 13.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 55 industry peers
BA — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-28
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 24, 2026, The Boeing Company (“Boeing”) entered into a $3.0 billion, 364-day revolving credit agreement (the “364-Day Credit Agreement”) with Citibank, N.A. (“Citibank”) and JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. (“JPMorgan”) as joint lead arrangers and joint book managers, Citibank as administrative agent, JPMorgan as syndication agent, and a syndicate of lenders as defined in the 364-Day Credit Agreement. This facility replaces Boeing’s previous $3.0…
Why it matters: A big drop in revenue shows ongoing problems. This can hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifQ3 2024 revenue falls below $16.9 billion, worse than a 5% decline year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 2024 revenue stabilizes or grows year over year.
Why it matters: Closing this sale will show Boeing's focus on core operations and capital strength.
Supportive ifThe sale closes successfully and is reported in a press release.
Worry ifThe sale is delayed or fails to close by the end of 2025.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows improved efficiency. This may help financial health.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow is above $1.4 billion.
Worry ifOperating cash flow is below $1.4 billion.
Why it matters: This shows problems in the commercial segment. It will affect overall recovery.
Worry ifCommercial Airplanes revenue is less than $7.4 billion.
Less concerning ifCommercial Airplanes revenue is more than $7.4 billion.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$119 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $324 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,496 loss on $10,000 · 25.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A growing backlog shows strong demand. It also means the company is recovering.
Supportive ifTotal backlog grows beyond $715 billion in Q4 2026.
Worry ifTotal backlog goes down or stays under $715 billion.
Why it matters: Higher margins show better cost control. This means the company is recovering.
Supportive ifCore operating margins exceed 1.3% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifCore operating margins remain below 1.3% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows Boeing is recovering and becoming more stable.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue growth exceeds 10% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue growth is below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: This cash flow figure indicates how well Boeing is managing its cash. A worse result would raise concerns about operational stability.
Worry ifOperating cash flow reported worse than -$1.3 billion in Q3 2024.
Less concerning ifOperating cash flow improves to above -$1.3 billion in Q3 2024.
Why it matters: This measure shows how well Boeing is doing. A bigger loss would mean more problems with making money.
Worry ifCore loss per share reported worse than ($10.44) in Q3 2024.
Less concerning ifCore loss per share reported better than ($10.44) in Q3 2024.
Why it matters: Deliveries are important to track. If they fall below this number, it may show problems with production or low demand.
Worry ifCommercial airplane deliveries were less than 171 units in Q3 2024.
Less concerning ifCommercial airplane deliveries were at or above 171 units in Q3 2024.
Why it matters: A smaller net loss shows progress. It means better financial recovery and efficiency.
Supportive ifNet loss in Q3 2024 is less than $400 million.
Worry ifNet loss in Q3 2024 exceeds $400 million.
Why it matters: If revenue drops below this level, it shows ongoing problems in operations.
Worry ifQ3 2024 revenue reported below $17 billion.
Less concerning ifIf Q3 2024 revenue is over $17 billion, it shows recovery.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows the company is stable. It also improves financial health.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow turns positive in Q3 2024, exceeding $0.
Worry ifOperating cash flow remains negative in Q3 2024.
Why it matters: More backlog growth shows strong demand and recovery for Boeing.
Supportive ifTotal backlog is over $715 billion. This shows strong order intake.
Worry ifTotal backlog declines or fails to grow from $715 billion.
Why it matters: Getting the 737 models certified would help production and revenue.
Supportive ifThe 737-7 and 737-10 got certified in 2026.
Worry ifDelays or problems in certifying the 737 models.