Baxter International (BAX)
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Instruments & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$25.65-3.21%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Instruments & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BAX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -11.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 13.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BAX — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-29
Other Events. Effective October 28, 2026, the Company's Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.01 per share of common stock. The dividend is payable on January 4, 2027, to stockholders of record as of November 27, 2026.
Why it matters: Baxter raised its adjusted EPS range, but Q3 adjusted EPS fell 16% year over year. The next results test whether profit can meet the higher bar.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is at least $2.05, the low end of the raised range.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is below $2.05, or Baxter cuts the range before year-end.
Why it matters: Baxter raised its sales outlook after Q3 growth of 5%. Meeting that range would support its growth progress.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 reported sales growth is 4% or higher, and organic growth is 3% or higher.
Worry ifFull-year reported sales growth is below 4%, or organic growth is below 3%.
Why it matters: Baxter has named balance-sheet strength as a priority and says the tender retired $864 million of debt. More debt paydown would show continued progress.
Supportive ifA new company filing reports another debt tender or repayment paid with cash.
Worry ifA filing reports new borrowing that lifts debt, or the next update shows no further debt paydown.
Why it matters: Q3 free cash flow rose to $448 million, from $181 million in Q2. A cash flow drop would weaken the evidence of progress on debt reduction.
Watch forThe next reported quarter has free cash flow of at least $448 million.
Also watch forThe next reported quarter has free cash flow below $181 million, Q2's reported amount.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$151 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $348 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,902 loss on $10,000 · 29.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.