Brunswick (BC)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$74.43+2.30%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-09-04
Warn: Primary pillar under pressure — Operating margin near 7.75% in 2026: Q2 operating margin 8.3% vs 7.75% target; FY26 guidance mid 7.75%.
Brunswick grew revenue 13% last quarter. It aims for $5.72B revenue in 2026. Profit margin should reach 7.75% next year. Free cash flow target is $350M in 2026.
Operating income fell from $56M to $50M last year. Profit growth is weak. The sector faces headwinds that may hurt sales.
The price matches about 7% revenue growth and $4.26 EPS in 2026. Our fair value is 17% below the Street's median target.
Breaks if: Dividend per share falls below $0.42
Commitment to maintaining consistent dividend payments to shareholders.
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a moderate risk profile with a focus on revenue growth and dividend maintenance. The current thesis state indicates cautious optimism, but recent performance has not fully aligned with industry peers.
The market seems to have priced in a level of fragility due to weak execution quality, but this fragility is considered low. The valuation is aligned with peers, suggesting that expectations are somewhat conservative.
Management is on track with priorities to increase revenue growth, maintain dividends, and improve operating income and margins. However, the recent financial performance has been neutral, and there is a moderate risk of missing future guidance.
The long-term thesis hinges on management's ability to sustain revenue growth and improve margins while navigating sector headwinds. Key factors include potential guidance cuts and inflation trends that could impact consumer discretionary spending.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The latest earnings beat supports improved revenue growth and operating income. Margin expansion also reinforces this positive outlook. There are no new threats impacting the thesis at this time.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: Free cash flow falls below $300M in FY26
Breaks if: Operating margin falls below 7.5% in FY26
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $5.2B in FY26
Over the next 1 to 3 years, BC's performance will depend on its execution and external economic factors. Not investment advice.