Brunswick (BC)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$78.89-2.96%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 9.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BC — CEO transition
Dated 2026-09-21
CEO — David M. Foulkes: The CEO is retiring with a pre-announced, named internal successor, indicating an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: The CEO change is planned, and Denari has led Navico Group. A smooth handoff would support the company's stated plan to keep its strategy unchanged.
Watch forDenari takes office on January 1, 2027. The company reports no change to its strategy or capital plans.
Also watch forThe handoff date changes. Or Brunswick reports a change to its strategy or capital plans during the transition.
Why it matters: Q3 adjusted margin rose to 10.1%, but inflation and planned product costs remain. A strong finish would show those gains can last.
Supportive ifThe adjusted operating margin for the full year is about 8.0% or more.
Worry ifThe adjusted operating margin for the full year is under 8.0%.
Why it matters: Parts, aftermarket sales, and Freedom Boat Club help balance boat and engine sales. Continued growth would support that source of earnings.
Supportive ifThe next report shows higher sales than last year in Engine Parts and Accessories. Freedom Boat Club trips or locations keep growing.
Worry ifEngine Parts and Accessories sales fall from last year. Freedom Boat Club reports fewer trips or locations.
Why it matters: Debt reduction is a stated capital goal. Meeting it would support the company's plan to keep a strong balance sheet.
Supportive ifBrunswick reports at least $160 million of debt retired in 2026.
Worry ifBrunswick reports less than $160 million of debt retired in 2026.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$143 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $340 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,073 loss on $10,000 · 30.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Brunswick raised its full-year EPS view after strong Q3 results. Meeting it would back up the recent sales and margin gains.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS is about $4.65 or higher.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS is below $4.35, the prior low end of guidance.