Brunswick (BC)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$74.43+2.30%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -3.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 9.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers
BC — debt issuance
Dated 2025-11-26
Other Events. On November 26, 2025, Brunswick Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the early tender results for the previously announced tender offer (the “Offer”) to purchase for cash an aggregate principal amount of its outstanding $300 million 5.100% Senior Notes due 2052 (the “Notes”). The Company also announced that it has increased the maximum aggregate principal amount subject to purchase pursuant to the Offer from up to an aggregate principal amount of $50 mil…
Why it matters: An update on revenue guidance will show how well Brunswick is managing market challenges. It can indicate future performance.
Watch forBrunswick raises Q3 revenue guidance to above $1.5 billion.
Also watch forBrunswick lowers Q3 revenue guidance below $1.4 billion.
Why it matters: Gaining market share in propulsion shows strong demand and competitive positioning. It supports revenue growth.
Supportive ifU.S. outboard market share increases by more than 200 basis points.
Worry ifMarket share in propulsion declines or remains flat.
Why it matters: Steady growth in all segments shows strong overall company performance.
Supportive ifAll segments report year-over-year sales growth in Q3.
Worry ifOne or more segments report declining sales year-over-year in Q3.
Why it matters: Tariff refunds can greatly increase earnings and show strong operations.
Supportive ifBrunswick recognizes $25 to $30 million in net IEEPA refunds in 2026.
Worry ifNo IEEPA tariff refunds were recognized in 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$146 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $340 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,236 loss on $10,000 · 22.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Changes in tariffs can greatly change costs and profits. Watching this shows how Brunswick handles outside pressures.
Watch forBrunswick says the tariff impact on earnings is lower than expected.
Also watch forBrunswick says the tariff impact on earnings is higher than expected.
Why it matters: Retail sales trends show market health and can affect Brunswick's results.
Watch forU.S. marine industry boat unit retail sales show growth of more than 2% year over year.
Also watch forU.S. marine industry boat unit retail sales decline by more than 2% year over year.
Why it matters: Tariff updates can change costs and prices. This affects overall profits.
Watch forManagement says tariff impact on earnings is less than expected.
Also watch forManagement says tariff impact on earnings is more than expected.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows improved cost control and profit. This matters for future growth.
Supportive ifOperating income is over $60 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifOperating income stays below $50 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Paying off debt shows good financial control. This can help build investor trust.
Supportive ifBrunswick retires at least $160 million of debt by year-end 2026.
Worry ifDebt retirement falls short of $100 million by year-end 2026.
Why it matters: Steady dividend payments show financial strength and care for shareholders. This can boost investor trust.
Supportive ifDividend per share remains at or increases from $0.44 in Q1 2026.
Worry ifDividend per share drops below $0.44 in future announcements.
Why it matters: This guidance shows Brunswick believes in its earning power. Meeting this range helps investor confidence.
Supportive ifFull-year adjusted EPS reported within the range of $4.35 to $4.75.
Worry ifFull-year adjusted EPS is below $4.35.
Why it matters: This guidance is a key indicator of Brunswick's sales trajectory and market demand. Meeting or exceeding this range would show strong momentum.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 revenue reported at or above $1.5 billion.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue reported below $1.4 billion.
Why it matters: Membership growth signals strong demand for shared boating experiences. This is crucial for Brunswick's recurring revenue model.
Supportive ifMembership growth is above 13% in the next quarterly update.
Worry ifMembership growth is below 10% in the next quarterly update.
Why it matters: Higher margins show better cost control and pricing power. This shows Brunswick's efficiency.
Supportive ifOperating margin will be over 9.6% in the next quarters.
Worry ifOperating margin will be under 8.0% in the next quarters.
Why it matters: This guidance shows business health and market conditions. Meeting this target shows strong performance.
Supportive ifFull-year net sales reported at or above $5.8 billion.
Worry ifFull-year net sales are below $5.7 billion.