Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$154.29+4.70%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BOOT
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within consumer discretionary on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-09-04.
The screen ranks BOOT against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 3 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated strong grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=5213).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Drive total sales growth of 14% to 16% over fiscal 2026 with same store sales growth and new store openings.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. The Company projects total sales of $2.580 billion to $2.625 billion for fiscal 2027, representing 14% to 16% growth over fiscal 2026's $2.254 billion revenue. The trajectory is delivering consistent growth guidance aligned with management's stated target.
“For the fiscal year ending March 27, 2027, the Company now expects total sales of $2.580 billion to $2.625 billion, representing growth of 14% to 16% over Fiscal 2026.”
“For the fiscal year ending March 27, 2027 the Company expects total sales of $2.578 billion to $ 2.623 billion, representing growth of 14% to 16% over Fiscal 2026.”
“For the fiscal year ending March 28, 2026, the Company now expects total sales of $2.24 billion to $2.25 billion, representing growth of 17% to 18% over fiscal year 2025.”
Continue expansion by opening about 70 new stores to grow retail footprint and support sales growth.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. The Company opened 80 new stores in fiscal 2026 and plans to open 70 stores in fiscal 2027 to expand its retail footprint. This consistent store opening cadence supports management's growth strategy and is delivering as planned.
“For the fiscal year ending March 27, 2027, the Company expects to open 70 stores.”
Sustain operating income margin between approximately 13.0% and 14.3% of sales to support profitability.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Operating income margin guidance ranges from 13.0% to 14.3% of sales across fiscal 2026 and 2027, with actual operating income of $299 million (13.3%) in fiscal 2026. The trajectory shows management maintaining targeted profitability margins.
“Income from operations between $357 million and $374 million, or approximately 13.8% to 14.3% of sales.”
Achieve e-commerce same store sales growth in the range of 11% to 13% to drive digital channel expansion.
Stated as a priority in 2 of last 3 quarters. Management targets e-commerce same store sales growth of 11% to 13% for fiscal 2027, with 12% to 14% growth expected in fiscal 2027-Q1. Prior quarters showed e-commerce growth above 13%, indicating delivery on this priority.
“E-commerce same store sales growth of 11.0% to 13.0% expected for fiscal year 2027.”
Continue repurchasing shares under the authorized $200 million repurchase program to return capital to shareholders.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. The Company repurchased $12.5 million in 2026-Q1 and $25.0 million in 2026-Q2 under its $200 million authorized repurchase program. This steady execution demonstrates ongoing capital return consistent with management's stated plan.
Over the trailing year it converted 1.37x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 49% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=4864).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated stable grew net income 47% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=1906).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.
“For the fiscal year ending March 27, 2027 the Company expects to open 70 stores, in addition to 10 stores that were accelerated and opened in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2026.”
“The Company opened 80 new stores, bringing its total store count to 539 as of the fiscal year end.”
“Income from operations between $335 million and $353 million, or approximately 13.0% to 13.5% of sales.”
“Income from operations between $297 million and $301 million, or approximately 13.3% to 13.4% of sales.”
“E-commerce same store sales growth of 12.0% to 14.0% expected for fiscal 2027-Q1.”
“The Company repurchased 158,451 shares for $25.0 million under its $200 million authorized repurchase program.”
“The Company repurchased 68,472 shares for $12.5 million under its $200 million authorized repurchase program.”
“The Company repurchased 67,279 shares for $12.5 million under its $200 million authorized repurchase program.”