Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$145.56+8.96%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
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Put BOOT beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Apparel Retail is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Recent financial performance freshly dropped to the bottom half of its industry.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 17% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 25% growth a year, above the roughly 14% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 46% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskBoot Barn's 14% to 16% revenue growth target has to keep compounding. Revenue growth is slowing from 18.7% to 15.1% year over year. The latest quarter beat estimates with revenue up 15.1%. The stock trades at 18 times earnings versus a 16 times peer median. The market is pricing in more growth than we forecast. Recent financial performance dropped to the bottom half of its industry. This decline in standing is the specific risk to the thesis. Peer multiples imply a price about 26% below where it trades. The thesis has broken. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. BOOT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 17 analysts currently covering BOOT (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for BOOT in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOOT Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Apparel Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put BOOT next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Achieve 14% to 16% revenue growth in fiscal year 2027
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $145.56
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $145.56.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Official FY2027 outlook targets $2.6B sales and 75–80 new stores, supporting growth objectives.
Advances: Achieve 14% to 16% revenue growth in fiscal year 2027
Reported margin gains and store expansion support growth objectives, though slowing trends temper the fiscal 2027 outlook.
Advances: Achieve 14% to 16% revenue growth in fiscal year 2027
Revenue and EPS beat estimates, supporting growth execution, though the revenue beat was modest.
Threatens: Achieve 14% to 16% revenue growth in fiscal year 2027
EPS beat but revenue missed estimates, presenting a near-term growth headwind.
Advances: Expand e-commerce same store sales by double digits
E-commerce growth supports revenue objectives.
Threatens: Expand e-commerce same store sales by double digits
Same-store sales growth below expectations may hinder e-commerce goals.
Advances: Achieve 14% to 16% revenue growth in fiscal year 2027
Strong expansion aligns with revenue growth objective.
Geopolitical tensions may impact consumer spending.