Brixmor Property Group (BRX)
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
$29.94-0.96%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BRX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 19 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BRX — credit agreement
Dated 2026-11-05
Other Events. Term Loan Agreement On November 5, 2026, Brixmor Operating Partnership LP (the “Borrower”), an indirect subsidiary of Brixmor Property Group Inc., entered into a Term Loan Agreement (the “Delayed Draw Term Loan Agreement”) with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, as administrative agent, and the lenders party thereto. The Delayed Draw Term Loan Agreement provides for a $400 million delayed-draw term loan facility (the “Delayed Draw Term Loan Facility”) available to be drawn…
Why it matters: Brixmor has $331.8 million of projects in progress, with an expected average return of 10%. Results below that mark would weaken the project case.
Worry ifNew reports show the average yield on completed projects below 10%.
Less concerning ifNew reports show completed projects with an average yield of at least 10%.
Why it matters: Brixmor raised its 2026 growth range to 5.50%–5.75%. A result below 5.50% would miss the new low end.
Worry ifThe final 2026 same-property NOI growth result is below 5.50%.
Less concerning ifThe final 2026 same-property NOI growth result is at least 5.50%.
Why it matters: The deal adds 23 Brixmor-owned centers and a stake in a 92-property joint venture. Closing would mark progress on the expansion plan.
Supportive ifBrixmor reports that the Slate deal closed in Q1 2027, with the stated 23-property purchase and Everview joint venture.
Worry ifBrixmor or Slate reports that the deal was ended, delayed past Q1 2027, or changed in a material way.
Why it matters: Signed leases not yet in use represented $68.9 million in annual rent. More rent starts would turn that pipeline into cash flow.
Supportive ifBrixmor reports annual rent from started leases above the Q3 level of $17.7 million. The signed-but-not-started rent pool falls from $68.9 million.
Worry ifAnnual rent from started leases is $17.7 million or less. The signed-but-not-started rent pool stays at $68.9 million or more.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$74 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $184 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,790 loss on $10,000 · 17.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.