Peabody Energy, Inc. (BTU)
NYSEEnergyCoalSnapshot 2026-11-04
$17.02-17.62%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyCoalSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put BTU beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Energy is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 1% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 57% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskBTU's recovery hinges on the Centurion mine ramping to targeted production rates. The stock trades at 0.5x sales versus a 1.5x peer median. This discount reflects expectations for modest growth relative to our view. The company missed its third-quarter earnings target by a wide margin. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 72%. Peer multiples imply a price about 58% above where it trades. Our standing thesis remains intact, but this read is provisional.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. BTU is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 6 analysts currently covering BTU (as of Nov 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTU Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Coal & Consumable Fuels — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put BTU next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Ramp up Centurion Mine to targeted production rates
Confirms Centurion ramp progress and planned upgrades.
Advances: Preserve balance sheet strength and increase free cash flow
Exceeding expectations supports cash flow and balance sheet strength.
Advances: Maintain quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share
Confirms maintenance of stated dividend objective.
Advances: Ramp up Centurion Mine to targeted production rates
BMO's target raise indicates confidence in mine production progress.
Threatens: Ramp up Centurion Mine to targeted production rates
Lawsuit could hinder ramp-up of Centurion Mine production.
Threatens: Ramp up Centurion Mine to targeted production rates
Lawsuit may hinder Centurion Mine production ramp-up.
Securities class action could impact financial stability.
Class action may impact investor confidence and earnings outlook.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.