Boyd Gaming (BYD)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-11-04
$77.07-0.81%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BYD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -10.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 11.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BYD — dividend update
Dated 2026-08-13
Other Events. On August 13, 2026, the Board of Directors of Boyd Gaming Corporation declared a cash dividend of $0.20 per share, payable October 15, 2026, to shareholders of record on September 15, 2026. 2 SIGNATURE Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. Date: August 13, 2026 BOYD GAMING CORPORATION By: /s/ Lori M. Nelson Lori M. Nelson Senior Vice P…
Why it matters: Total adjusted EBITDAR was slightly lower year over year in Q3, after a larger drop in Q2. A rise would show that earnings are gaining strength.
Supportive ifNext quarter's total adjusted EBITDAR is higher than in the same quarter in 2025.
Worry ifNext quarter's total adjusted EBITDAR is lower than in the same quarter in 2025.
Why it matters: Weak destination business hurt the Orleans and Downtown Las Vegas. Less softness could help these properties recover.
Supportive ifNext quarter, the Orleans and Downtown Las Vegas each report higher revenue year over year.
Worry ifNext quarter, either Orleans or Downtown Las Vegas reports lower revenue than a year ago. Reports still cite weak destination demand.
Why it matters: This segment grew after adjusting for closures, a sale, and higher property taxes. More growth would support the impact of recent property investments.
Supportive ifQ4 Midwest & South revenue rises year over year, and adjusted revenue growth stays at or above 2%.
Worry ifQ4 Midwest & South adjusted revenue falls year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$106 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $242 loss on $10,000 · 2.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,760 loss on $10,000 · 27.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.