Crown Holdings (CCK)
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$115.16-0.37%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CCK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -1.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 17 industry peers
CCK — General Counsel transition
Dated 2026-09-04
General Counsel — Adam Dickstein: The Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary announced a planned retirement effective in the future, which is an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of a sitting executive.
Why it matters: Negative revenue growth shows problems with demand and market conditions.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 0%.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 0%.
Why it matters: Updates on this facility are key to expanding capacity in a growing market. It shows how well the company is meeting demand.
Supportive ifManagement reports progress on the Northern India facility. It is still on schedule.
Worry ifThere are delays or problems in the facility's construction.
Why it matters: Growth in segment income shows strength during tough cost times. It shows the company can manage costs.
Supportive ifSegment income grows year over year in Q3, even with rising costs.
Worry ifSegment income declines year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: Volume growth shows strong demand for products. This shows market strength and success.
Supportive ifGlobal beverage can volumes grew by more than 5%.
Worry ifGlobal beverage can volumes grew by less than 5%.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$96 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $234 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,047 loss on $10,000 · 20.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Growth in this segment is key for the company. It shows demand strength and efficiency.
Supportive ifSegment income from beverage cans shows growth compared to the previous quarter.
Worry ifSegment income goes down. This shows possible demand or operational problems.
Why it matters: Shipment trends show how strong demand is and how well the company operates.
Watch forGlobal beverage can shipments increase more than 5% year over year.
Also watch forGlobal beverage can shipments decline or grow less than 5% year over year.
Why it matters: The new plant will help meet growing demand in a key market for beverage cans.
Supportive ifLook for news about construction milestones or completion dates for the new plant.
Worry ifDelays in construction or operational start date beyond the second half of 2027.
Why it matters: Stable operating income helps with long-term profits. It also builds trust with investors.
Worry ifOperating income stays stable or goes up in Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifOperating income goes down more in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Growth would show recovery in the materials sector. This would help Crown's outlook.
Supportive ifMaterials sector revenue growth is positive after being close to -1 percent.
Worry ifMaterials sector revenue growth is still negative.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means the company is more efficient. It also shows stronger financial health.
Supportive ifCash from operations turns positive in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash from operations remains negative in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: This range shows strong financial performance and growth plans for 2026.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted diluted EPS was over $2.30.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted diluted EPS was under $2.20.
Why it matters: This shows financial health and the ability to fund growth and pay shareholders.
Supportive ifAdjusted free cash flow reported at or above $900 million.
Worry ifAdjusted free cash flow reported below $900 million.
Why it matters: Growth in segment income shows good operations and strong demand.
Supportive ifSegment income was over $501 million.
Worry ifSegment income was under $476 million.