Crown Holdings (CCK)
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-11-04
$124.78+3.35%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put CCK beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Free cash flow at least $900M in FY26: Free cash flow: $283M.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 13% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 12%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskCrown Holdings' global can expansion must keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue grew 16% in the second quarter. The third quarter beat estimates by 6.2%. The stock trades at 15 times earnings. Peers trade at 16 times earnings. The price reflects less growth than we forecast. Free cash flow is $283 million. The target is at least $900 million for the year. Peer multiples imply a price about 12% below where it trades. The thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. CCK is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 14 analysts currently covering CCK (as of Nov 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put CCK next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain earnings performance and deliver 2026 guidance
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
2026 EPS outlook and maintained 4%-5% can-growth target support delivery and volume objectives.
Advances: Drive operational performance and segment income growth
Higher profit and can volumes support operating performance, though rising costs temper the positive signal.
Threatens: Maintain strong financial performance and raise EPS guidance
Weak Q4 guidance outweighs the Q3 beat and challenges the objective of sustaining strong performance.
Advances: Expand global beverage can capacity including new India facility
Supports expansion of global beverage can capacity in India.
Advances: Expand global beverage can capacity including new India facility
Meeting indicates progress on global beverage can capacity expansion.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Strong EPS growth supports revenue growth objective.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Strong Q2 results indicate revenue growth acceleration.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Q2 beat and raise supports revenue growth objective.
