Celanese (CE)
NYSEMaterialsChemicalsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$44.67-1.17%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicalsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -45.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 47.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CE — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-04
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Amendment to Credit Agreement On July 31, 2026, Celanese US Holdings LLC (“Celanese US”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Celanese Corporation (the “Company”) entered into a First Amendment to Credit Agreement (the “Amendment”), which amends the Credit Agreement, dated as of August 11, 2025, by and among the Company, Celanese US, as borrower, certain subsidiaries of Celanese US from time to time party thereto as borrowers, each lender from time to time…
Why it matters: Higher net income means better profits. It shows management is effective.
Supportive ifNet income increases year over year, exceeding $44M in Q2.
Worry ifNet income declines year over year or stays below $44M in Q2.
Why it matters: The materials sector is in decline. Positive revenue growth could signal a recovery for Celanese.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth turns positive after being negative for three years.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains negative or worsens.
Why it matters: Growth in this segment is key for overall performance. It shows that strategies are working.
Supportive ifEngineered Materials net sales grew by at least 6% compared to last year.
Worry ifNet sales growth is below 6% YoY, which shows weaker performance.
Why it matters: Management said higher input costs are hurting margins. Watching this will show how well the company handles cost issues.
Worry ifMargins drop more than expected because of rising input costs. This shows pressure on profits.
Less concerning ifMargins stay the same or improve even with higher input costs. This shows good cost management.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$186 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $552 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,769 loss on $10,000 · 37.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: More cash flow is important for reducing debt and improving financial health.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow will rise above $100 million in Q2 2026. This supports stability.
Worry ifOperating cash flow stays below $76 million. This shows ongoing financial problems.
Why it matters: This change is important for better production and cost control in the Acetyl Chain.
Supportive ifThe POM facility will restart as planned in May 2026. This will improve operations.
Worry ifIf the turnaround takes longer, operations will stay inefficient. Costs will remain high.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow will help reduce debt and show better efficiency.
Supportive ifFree cash flow for the second quarter is over $50 million, showing strong cash.
Worry ifFree cash flow is below $3 million, showing ongoing cash challenges.
Why it matters: Paying off debt shows that they are managing their finances better.
Supportive ifDebt redemption occurs on June 25, 2026, as scheduled.
Worry ifRedemption is delayed or canceled. This raises worries about cash flow.
Why it matters: Inventory changes can affect revenue and margins. This will show how well Celanese is managing its supply chain.
Watch forInventory drawdowns are lower than expected. This helps keep revenue stable.
Also watch forInventory drawdowns are higher than expected. This hurts revenue.
Why it matters: This closure is part of a strategy to improve competitiveness and reduce costs. It may impact supply and pricing in the nylon market.
Supportive ifThe closure is on track for Q3 2026. It will save $30 million each year.
Worry ifIf the closure is delayed or canceled, costs will stay high in the nylon segment.
Why it matters: This closure is part of cost-saving measures. Delays could signal execution issues and impact future savings.
Worry ifThe acetate tow facility in Lanaken, Belgium will close on time.
Less concerning ifThe closure is delayed beyond the third quarter.
Why it matters: Higher operating income shows management is doing a good job. It helps overall profits.
Supportive ifQ2 operating income is up from last year. It is over $214M.
Worry ifQ2 operating income declines year over year or stays below $214M.
Why it matters: Hitting these savings shows Celanese can work more efficiently. Missing the target raises concerns about cost management.
Supportive ifCelanese says it has saved $50 million each year in fixed costs.
Worry ifCelanese says it will not meet the $50 million in annual fixed-cost savings.
Why it matters: This closure is part of a strategy to improve competitiveness and reduce costs. It reflects how well Celanese is adapting to market needs.
Supportive ifThe nylon 6,6 polymer unit in Sakra, Singapore is closed. This is as planned for Q3.
Worry ifThe closure is delayed or canceled. This shows possible problems in operations.
Why it matters: Sales growth in these areas shows Celanese can seize market chances. Falling sales raise worries about demand and execution.
Watch forEngineered Materials and Acetyl Chain net sales are up more than 10% from last year.
Also watch forEngineered Materials and Acetyl Chain net sales are down from last year.
Why it matters: A drop below this range may signal weakening demand or cost pressures, impacting future growth.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted earnings per share reported below $1.35.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted earnings per share reported above $1.75.
Why it matters: These savings are important for better margins and staying competitive.
Supportive ifManagement says they saved more than $50 million a year by cutting costs.
Worry ifManagement says savings are less than $30 million from cost-cutting actions.