Church & Dwight (CHD)
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$98.55-0.04%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CHD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 19.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CHD — earnings in line
Dated 2026-07-31
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 31, 2026, Church & Dwight Co., Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, and providing additional information. This press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 pursuant to this
Why it matters: The success of new products like HERO cleansers is vital for organic growth. Strong sales would boost confidence.
Supportive ifSales of HERO facial cleansers are better than expected in Q3.
Worry ifSales of HERO facial cleansers fall short of expectations in Q3.
Why it matters: Changes in gross margin show how well the company is handling costs.
Watch forGross margin reported above 46% in Q2.
Also watch forGross margin reported below 45%.
Why it matters: A drop below 4% would signal a slowdown in momentum after strong growth in Q1 and Q2.
Worry ifQ3 organic sales growth was less than 4%.
Less concerning ifQ3 organic sales growth reported at 4% or higher.
Why it matters: Cash flow is key for funding growth and acquisitions. A drop would raise concerns.
Worry ifCash from operations was less than $1.15 billion.
Less concerning ifCash from operations reported at or above $1.15 billion.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$109 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $212 loss on $10,000 · 2.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,461 loss on $10,000 · 14.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Lower growth shows problems with costs and pricing. This can hurt profits.
Worry ifGross margin growth was less than 100 basis points.
Less concerning ifGross margin expansion reported at or above 100 basis points.
Why it matters: EPS growth is a key measure of profitability. A drop would signal weaker performance.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS growth reported below 6%.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EPS growth reported at or above 6%.