C.H. Robinson (CHRW)
NASDAQIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$147.64+0.65%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CHRW
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within industrials on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-09-04.
The screen ranks CHRW against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 4 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated strong grew net income 67% of the time over the next year (vs 52% for the rest of the cohort, n=6958).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue disciplined execution of Lean AI strategy to drive productivity improvements, market share growth, and operating margin expansion across North American Surface Transportation and Global Forw…
Stated as a priority in 6 of last 6 quarters. Management consistently emphasized Lean AI strategy as key to productivity and market share gains, with evergreen productivity improvements exceeding 60% since end of 2022 and 13 consecutive quarters of NAST volume growth outpacing the market. Financials show income from operations increased 18.4% in 2026-Q2 and adjusted operating margins expanded, confirming delivering trajectory.
“Lean AI strategy enabled evergreen productivity improvements of over 60% since end of 2022 in NAST and Global Forwarding.”
“Lean AI strategy driving evergreen productivity improvements and market share gains for 12 consecutive quarters in NAST.”
“Lean AI strategy fueling double-digit productivity increases and margin expansion in NAST and Global Forwarding.”
“Lean AI journey in early innings with 55% productivity improvement in Global Forwarding since end of 2022.”
“Lean AI strategy accelerating progress with 21% income from operations growth and margin expansion.”
“Lean AI and new operating model driving market share gains, margin expansion, and higher operating leverage.”
Maintain disciplined capital expenditure program targeting $65 million to $85 million annually to support growth and operational efficiency.
Stated as a priority in 6 of last 6 quarters. Management consistently guided capital expenditures within $65M-$85M range for 2025 and 2026. Actual quarterly capex reported was $15M-$20M per quarter in 2025 and $18.2M in 2026-Q2, consistent with the guidance range, indicating delivering trajectory.
Sustain full-year effective tax rate guidance in the range of 18% to 20% to support financial planning and compliance.
Stated as a priority in 6 of last 6 quarters. Management consistently guided full-year effective tax rate at 18%-20% for 2025 and 2026. Actual quarterly effective tax rates fluctuated but remained near this range, e.g., 21.5% in 2026-Q2 and 21.4% in 2025-Q2, indicating mixed but generally consistent delivery.
Continue to grow market share in North American Surface Transportation by outperforming market volume declines and expanding adjusted gross profits and operating margins.
Stated as a priority in 6 of last 6 quarters. Management highlighted sustained market share growth in NAST with volume increases of 1.5% in 2026-Q2 despite a 3.3% market decline, marking 13-15 consecutive quarters of outperformance versus the Cass Freight Shipment Index. Financials confirm revenue growth and margin expansion in NAST, indicating delivering trajectory.
Implement Lean AI strategy to drive productivity improvements and cost efficiency.
Over the trailing year it converted 0.47x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated fragile grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=4997).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates (low R² over the window).
9 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=3431).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.
“Capital expenditures for 2026 are expected to be $65 million to $75 million.”
“Capital expenditures for 2026 are expected to be $75 million to $85 million.”
“Capital expenditures for 2026 are expected to be $75 million to $85 million.”
“Capital expenditures for 2025 are expected to be $65 million to $75 million.”
“Capital expenditures for 2025 are expected to be $65 million to $75 million.”
“Capital expenditures for 2025 are expected to be $65 million to $75 million.”
“For 2026, we expect our full-year effective tax rate to be 18% to 20%.”
“For 2026, we expect our full-year effective tax rate to be 18% to 20%.”
“For 2026, we expect our full-year effective tax rate to be 18% to 20%.”
“For 2025, we expect our full-year effective tax rate to be 18% to 20%.”
“For 2025, we expect our full-year effective tax rate to be 18% to 20%.”
“For 2025, we expect our full-year effective tax rate to be 18% to 20%.”
“NAST volume increased approximately 1.5% year-over-year, outpacing 3.3% decline in Cass Freight Shipment Index.”
“NAST total volume was flat year-over-year compared to 6.2% decline in Cass Freight Shipment Index.”
“NAST total volume increased approximately 1% compared to 7.6% decline in Cass Freight Shipment Index.”
“NAST combined truckload and LTL volume grew approximately 3% year-over-year versus 7.2% decline in Cass Index.”
“NAST outgrew the market again in both truckload and LTL while expanding gross margins.”
“NAST outgrew the market in both truckload and LTL while expanding gross margins and improving productivity.”