C.H. Robinson (CHRW)
NASDAQIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$128.31-4.13%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CHRW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -11.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 12.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 23.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CHRW — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-11-04
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The discussion under
Why it matters: C.H. Robinson tied the deal's value to $300 million in yearly cost savings within two years after close. Tracking reported savings will test that plan.
Watch forAfter the deal closes, reported yearly cost savings reach $300 million within two years.
Also watch forAfter the deal closes, reported yearly cost savings remain below $300 million at the two-year mark.
Why it matters: NAST outgrew the market for 14 straight quarters. Continued gains would support management's market-share story; a reversal would weaken it.
Watch forNAST truckload and LTL volume grows faster year over year than the Cass Freight Shipment Index next quarter.
Also watch forNAST truckload and LTL volume grows more slowly year over year than the Cass Freight Shipment Index next quarter.
Why it matters: Truckload AGP per shipment rose 17% as spot costs climbed. A further gain would show that pricing discipline is keeping up with costs.
Watch forNAST truckload adjusted gross profit per shipment rises year over year in the next reported quarter.
Also watch forNAST truckload adjusted gross profit per shipment falls year over year in the next reported quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$120 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $362 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,050 loss on $10,000 · 40.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.