Chatham Lodging Trust (CLDT)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.04+0.38%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CLDT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -14.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 20.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CLDT — earnings in line
Dated 2025-11-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 5, 2025, Chatham Lodging Trust issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the three months ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and is incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in
Why it matters: Completing these deals shows Chatham wants to grow and expand.
Supportive ifA press release confirms that six hotels were successfully acquired.
Worry ifNo announcement of the acquisition completion by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Higher dividends show financial strength. They show a commitment to giving value to shareholders.
Supportive ifChatham announces an increase in the dividend per share in Q2.
Worry ifChatham maintains or decreases the dividend per share in Q2.
Why it matters: Earnings will show how the company is doing. They will also reveal future plans. This can affect how investors feel.
Watch forThe earnings report shows better revenue or profit than in past quarters.
Also watch forEarnings report shows continued losses or declines in key metrics.
Why it matters: New guidance shows management's confidence. It can change how investors feel.
Watch forRevenue guidance raised above $316 million for 2026.
Also watch forRevenue guidance cut below $312 million for 2026.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a recovery in the real estate sector. This would be positive for Chatham Lodging Trust's outlook.
Supportive ifReal estate sector revenue growth is speeding up again. It is above 5%, close to past highs.
Worry ifRevenue growth is below 5%. It may keep slowing down.
Why it matters: Share buybacks can show management's confidence. They can help support the share price.
Supportive ifChatham plans more share buybacks in Q2.
Worry ifChatham does not announce any share repurchases in Q2.
Why it matters: If the integration works well, it will improve performance and profit margins.
Supportive ifIntegration results in RevPAR growth of at least 8% for the six-hotel portfolio in Q3.
Worry ifRevPAR growth for the six-hotel portfolio falls below 5% in Q3.
Why it matters: An increase in dividends would show strong cash flow. It would also show a commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a dividend increase above $0.10 per share in Q3.
Worry ifNo dividend increase announced in Q3.
Why it matters: If revenue growth in the real estate sector speeds up, it could benefit Chatham's performance. It indicates a healthier market.
Watch forSector revenue growth speeds up again, showing better demand.
Also watch forSector revenue growth slows down, showing ongoing problems.
Why it matters: Strong RevPAR growth shows good management. It also shows demand is coming back in hotels.
Supportive ifRevPAR growth for Q3 exceeds 10% compared to the same period last year.
Worry ifRevPAR growth for Q3 is below 5% compared to the same period last year.
Why it matters: Confirming revenue guidance shows the company is on track to meet its financial goals.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported is within the guidance range of $312M-$316M.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported is below $308M.
Why it matters: Good integration will show the value of the recent acquisition. It will help revenue growth.
Supportive ifRevPAR growth for the six-hotel portfolio exceeds 9% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifRevPAR growth for the six-hotel portfolio is below 5% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Consistent dividends mean strong cash flow. They also show a commitment to giving value to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company maintains the dividend at $0.10 per share for Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe company lowers the dividend below $0.10 per share for Q3 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$119 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $237 loss on $10,000 · 2.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,480 loss on $10,000 · 14.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.