Chatham Lodging Trust (CLDT)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-11-04
$14.98-0.27%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CLDT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -6.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers
CLDT — President transition
Dated 2026-09-14
Director — William P. (Liam) Brown: The filing discloses the appointment of a new independent director to the Board of Trustees, which is a routine governance event and not a departure of a sitting executive.
Why it matters: Q2 hotel EBITDA margin reached 41%, helped by cost controls. A margin above 39% would show most of that gain held.
Supportive ifQ3 hotel EBITDA margin is above 39%.
Worry ifQ3 hotel EBITDA margin is below 37%.
Why it matters: These markets fell 9% and 6% in Q2. Further declines would add pressure despite portfolio-wide growth.
Worry ifQ3 RevPAR falls year over year in both San Diego and Coastal Northeast.
Less concerning ifQ3 RevPAR is flat or higher year over year in both markets.
Why it matters: The six hotels beat underwriting in Q2, with RevPAR up 9%. Continued growth would support the deal's early results.
Supportive ifQ3 RevPAR for the six acquired hotels is up at least 6% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 RevPAR for the six acquired hotels is flat or down year over year.
Why it matters: Management raised its revenue range to $312 million to $316 million. Meeting the low end would confirm the raised plan.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 hotel revenue is at least $312 million.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 hotel revenue is below $312 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$106 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $229 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,018 loss on $10,000 · 10.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q2 RevPAR rose 3%, and July rose 10%. Growth above 3% would show July strength lasted.
Supportive ifIn the Nov. 5 results, Q3 comparable-hotel RevPAR is up more than 3% year over year.
Worry ifIn the Nov. 5 results, Q3 comparable-hotel RevPAR is flat or down year over year.