CNA FINANCIAL CORP (CNA)
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - Property & CasualtySnapshot 2026-11-04
$48.02+1.67%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - Property & CasualtySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CNA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -16.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -4.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 25 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CNA — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-02
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On November 2, 2026 , the registrant issued a press release and posted on its website ( cna.com ) a financial supplement, earnings presentation and earnings remarks providing information on its results of operations for the third quarter 2026. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1, the financial supplement is furnished as Exhibit 99.2, the earnings presentation is furnished as Exhibit 99.3 and the earnings remarks are furnished as Exhibi…
Why it matters: CNA declared a $0.48 per-share dividend in both Q1 and Q2. Another declaration at that level would keep its recent dividend steady.
Supportive ifCNA declares a quarterly dividend of at least $0.48 per share.
Worry ifCNA declares a quarterly dividend below $0.48 per share, or does not declare one.
Why it matters: The release can show whether Q2's lower underlying underwriting results persist. Check the P&C combined ratios, premium growth, and investment income.
Watch forThe Q3 release shows an underlying combined ratio under 94.2% and P&C premiums up more than 4% from last year.
Also watch forThe Q3 release shows an underlying combined ratio over 94.2% or P&C premiums below Q2's 4% growth from last year.
Why it matters: The ratio was 94.2% in Q2, but remained above last year's 91.7%. A higher Q3 result would show that claim costs still weigh on underwriting.
Worry ifQ3 P&C underlying combined ratio is above 94.5%, compared with 94.2% in Q2.
Less concerning ifQ3 P&C underlying combined ratio falls below 94.2%.
Why it matters: P&C premiums grew 4% in Q2, while renewal premium change was 2%. More growth could show CNA is finding business at prices it accepts.
Supportive ifQ3 P&C net written premiums grow year over year, and renewal premium change is above 2%.
Worry ifQ3 P&C net written premiums fall year over year, or renewal premium change is below 2%.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$102 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $189 loss on $10,000 · 1.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,886 loss on $10,000 · 18.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.