CNA FINANCIAL CORP (CNA)
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - Property & CasualtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$48.47-1.40%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - Property & CasualtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CNA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -24.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -3.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 21.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 33 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CNA — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-04
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On May 4, 2026 , the registrant issued a press release and posted on its website ( cna.com ) a financial supplement, earnings presentation and earnings remarks providing information on its results of operations for the first quarter 2026. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1, the financial supplement is furnished as Exhibit 99.2, the earnings presentation is furnished as Exhibit 99.3 and the earnings remarks are furnished as Exhibit 99.…
Why it matters: This goal shows that management wants to make more money from investments. Meeting it would show progress.
Supportive ifIncome from fixed income and other investments reaches $2,300 million or more.
Worry ifIncome from fixed income and other investments falls below $2,200 million.
Why it matters: Growth under 1% suggests market demand is weak. It also shows competition is affecting revenue.
Worry ifNet written premium growth reported below 1%.
Less concerning ifNet written premium growth exceeds 1%.
Why it matters: A change in the dividend may show changes in how money is used or financial health.
Worry ifManagement declares a lower dividend than $0.48 per share in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifManagement maintains or raises the dividend at $0.48 per share or higher.
Why it matters: A steady dividend shows that the company is healthy. It also promises value to shareholders.
Supportive ifManagement announces a cash dividend of $0.48 per share for Q3.
Worry ifManagement cuts or stops the cash dividend for Q3.
Why it matters: Higher net investment income helps profits. It can make up for underwriting losses.
Supportive ifNet investment income growth exceeds 5% in the next quarter.
Worry ifNet investment income growth falls below 2%.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows financial health. It shows a commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifCNA declares a quarterly cash dividend of $0.48 per share in Q3 2026.
Worry ifCNA reduces the quarterly cash dividend below $0.48 per share in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If it drops below $200 million, it shows profits are getting worse. This raises worries about how management plans to grow.
Worry ifQ2 net income reported below $200 million.
Less concerning ifQ2 net income remains above $200 million.
Why it matters: A combined ratio over 100% shows losses in underwriting. This can hurt future profits.
Worry ifCombined ratio of more than 100% in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifCombined ratio of 100% or less in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: A drop in core income can mean profits are getting worse. It may show problems.
Worry ifCore income reported below $300 million in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifCore income remains above $300 million.
Why it matters: Higher net investment income helps overall earnings. It shows that investment strategies are working well.
Supportive ifNet investment income is above $610 million.
Worry ifNet investment income is below $610 million.
Why it matters: A slowdown in premium growth may mean less demand or more competition.
Worry ifP&C net written premium growth of less than 4% in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifP&C net written premium growth of 4% or more in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth could signal a slowdown in the financial sector. This would impact CNA's performance.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below its median of 15% year over year.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth stays above its median of 15% year over year.
Why it matters: A combined ratio above 100% indicates underwriting losses. This could signal deeper issues in the P&C segments.
Worry ifP&C combined ratio exceeds 100% in the next quarterly report.
Less concerning ifP&C combined ratio remains below 100% in the next quarterly report.
Why it matters: Slower growth in net written premiums may show weaker demand or more competition.
Worry ifNet written premiums growth falls below 2% in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifNet written premiums growth remains at or above 4% in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A big drop in investment income could hurt profits and show problems with investment plans.
Worry ifNet investment income falls below $600 million in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifNet investment income stays above $700 million in the next quarter.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$99 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $184 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,458 loss on $10,000 · 14.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.