Coinbase (COIN)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial Data & Stock ExchangesSnapshot 2026-07-07
$163.51-3.17%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $163.51. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $164, COIN's earnings are too small for P/E to mean much; on sales it trades at 61× p/e (3.7× the 17× p/e peer median, and 1.1× even its own history). At a normal multiple the price implies ~22% near-term growth vs our ~12% forecast. That gap is an optionality premium a financial-multiple model can't price — our $134 fair value covers only the as-is business, low confidence. Analysts target $107–$310. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $716 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $201.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $101.13 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $123.17 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $55.20 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$107.00 – $310.00 (median $201.50) · 14 analysts · as of 2026-07-07
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $106.82 |
| 2.1 |
| 50.91 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $143.45 | 13.6 | 10.54 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $44.02 | 16.5 | 2.66 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $83.60 | 3.4 | 24.78 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $76.57 | 28.8 | 2.66 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $39.42 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $149.06 | 56.0 | 2.66 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $47.87 | 16.5 | 2.89 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $162.46 | 2.1 | 77.43 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $138.45 | 13.6 | 10.18 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $94.96 | 16.5 | 5.74 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $117.11 | 3.4 | 34.71 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $165.20 | 28.8 | 5.74 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $321.58 | 56.0 | 5.74 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $214.85 | 2.1 | 102.40 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $135.22 | 13.6 | 9.94 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $118.32 | 16.5 | 7.15 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $145.91 | 3.4 | 43.24 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $205.82 | 28.8 | 7.15 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $400.66 | 56.0 | 7.15 | Analyst | medium |