California Resources Corporation (CRC)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
$45.60-5.67%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CRC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 26.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 36.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 27 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CRC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-10
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 10, 2026, California Resources Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial condition and results of operations for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report on Form 8-K, and is incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this
Why it matters: CRC agreed to pay $63 million for Crimson's California pipelines and storage assets. Closing and later results will show whether the deal adds value.
Supportive ifCRC confirms the Crimson deal closed, then reports higher pipeline income or lower transport costs.
Worry ifCRC reports the deal did not close, or reports no pipeline income or transport-cost gains after closing.
Why it matters: CRC reported its first CO₂ injection and revenue at CTV I. More reported injection and revenue would show the project is operating beyond its start.
Supportive ifCRC reports CO₂ injection and revenue at CTV I in a later quarter, with both above zero.
Worry ifCRC reports no further CO₂ injection or revenue at CTV I in its next update.
Why it matters: CRC and Beacon announced a proposed data center at Elk Hills. A signed power or site deal would show the project is moving forward.
Supportive ifCRC or Beacon names a tenant or confirms a signed power or site deal for the hub.
Worry ifCRC or Beacon cancels the project, or reports no signed tenant or power deal by the next update.
Why it matters: CRC reaffirmed a $520–$560 million full-year capital plan. Spending above the top end could weaken cash flow and show less cost control.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 capital spending tops $560 million.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 capital spending is $560 million or less.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$130 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $361 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,498 loss on $10,000 · 35.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.