Cisco (CSCO)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-11-05
$95.72-7.62%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CSCO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 0.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 13.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 12 industry peers
CSCO — CEO transition
Dated 2026-10-09
Director — Girish D. Rishi: The filing discloses the routine appointment of a new independent director to the board, which is a standard governance event and not an executive departure.
Why it matters: Cisco set Q1 revenue guidance at $18.0 billion to $18.2 billion. A result below that range would break its recent run of strong growth.
Worry ifQ1 FY 2027 revenue is below $18.0 billion, the low end of Cisco's guidance.
Less concerning ifQ1 FY 2027 revenue is at least $18.0 billion and lands within or above the guided range.
Why it matters: Cisco's Q1 FY 2027 gross margin guide starts at 65%. Falling below it would point to weaker product margins or higher costs.
Worry ifQ1 FY 2027 non-GAAP gross margin is below 65%.
Less concerning ifQ1 FY 2027 non-GAAP gross margin is at least 65%, within or above the guided range.
Why it matters: Cisco's FY 2027 revenue outlook points to continued growth. The next earnings report will show whether demand supports that range.
Watch forCisco keeps FY 2027 revenue guidance at $72.2 billion to $73.4 billion or raises it.
Also watch forCisco cuts FY 2027 revenue guidance below $72.2 billion.
Why it matters: Networking orders grew 40% in Q4, and revenue grew 28%. A sharp slowdown would weaken the campus refresh and networking growth story.
Watch forQuarterly networking product orders grow at least 20% year over year.
Also watch forQuarterly networking product orders are flat or decline year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$124 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $312 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,637 loss on $10,000 · 26.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.