Cisco (CSCO)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$109.20+0.54%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CSCO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 13.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 22 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CSCO — Principal Accounting Officer transition
Dated 2026-05-01
Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer — M. Victoria Wong: Ms. Wong is retiring but will remain as an Executive Advisor, and Mr. Fink has been appointed to succeed her.
Why it matters: If non-GAAP EPS is higher than this level, it shows good profits and cost control. This would show Cisco cares about returning value to shareholders.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP EPS reported above $1.34.
Worry ifNon-GAAP EPS reported below $1.32.
Why it matters: Updates will show how Cisco is positioning itself for future growth in key areas.
Watch forCisco shares how the restructuring will boost growth in AI and networking.
Also watch forCisco fails to provide updates or details on the restructuring plan.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is a key priority for Cisco. It shows overall business health and market position.
Supportive ifCisco reports quarterly revenue growth above 5% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth is below 0% year over year. This may show potential issues.
Why it matters: These charges show Cisco's focus on growing areas. They show management is moving resources for future gains.
Watch forRestructuring charges are $511 million or more for growth investments.
Also watch forRestructuring charges are less than $511 million. They do not focus on AI and security.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$131 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $288 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,645 loss on $10,000 · 16.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Beating this target would show high demand in the AI sector. It would also support Cisco's focus.
Supportive ifAI Infrastructure orders were over $1 billion for FY 2026.
Worry ifAI Infrastructure orders were below $1 billion for FY 2026.
Why it matters: If Cisco meets or beats this revenue goal, it shows strong demand. This also shows Cisco can take advantage of the networking boom.
Supportive ifQ1 FY 2027 revenue reported at or above $18.2 billion.
Worry ifQ1 FY 2027 revenue reported below $18.0 billion.
Why it matters: Keeping this growth rate means strong demand for Cisco's products. This is true for networking and AI infrastructure.
Supportive ifProduct orders growth reported above 30% year over year.
Worry ifProduct orders growth reported below 25% year over year.
Why it matters: If restructuring charges go over this amount, it may show big investments in AI and security. This could hurt profits in the short term.
Worry ifRestructuring costs are more than $1 billion.
Less concerning ifRestructuring costs are less than $800 million.