CSCO
CiscoNASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, CSCO has a composite score of 18.9 and a signal label of "mild favorable." The score is influenced by high confidence in guidance credibility at 100.0, while macro factors score 32.3, indicating moderate market risk at 43.2. Key drivers include macroeconomic conditions related to rates, growth, inflation, and labor.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.06
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.07 → $1.07 (+0.1% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 19 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 2 maintained. 65% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 18.6% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
Transition story with positive analyst positioning — often a turnaround setup.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
10 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase revenue for fiscal 2026growthmixed65% progress
2/11: “Cisco estimates FY 2026 Revenue $61.2 billion to $61.7 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue grew from $13.84 billion in 2025-Q1 to $15.35 billion in 2026-Q2, indicating progress towards the FY 2026 revenue target of $61.2 billion to $61.7 billion. The trajectory is delivering on the stated priority.
- 2.Maintain non-GAAP EPS for fiscal 2026growthmixed65% progress
2/11: “Cisco estimates FY 2026 Non-GAAP EPS $4.13 - $4.17.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS increased from $0.68 in 2025-Q1 to $0.80 in 2026-Q2, supporting the FY 2026 Non-GAAP EPS target of $4.13 to $4.17. The trajectory is delivering on the stated priority.
- 3.Executive leadership transitiontalentwatchprovisional
4/6: “CEO transition: Daniel H. Schulman resigns from the Board effective May 21, 2026.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. The CEO transition is underway with Daniel H. Schulman's resignation from the Board effective May 21, 2026. This transition is a key focus for Cisco's leadership strategy.
Guidance track record
Last 8 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-31 | $0.59 – $0.64 | $0.88 | beat |
| 2023-04-30 | $0.74 – $0.79 | $1.00 | beat |
| 2024-01-31 | $0.59 – $0.64 | $0.87 | beat |
| 2024-04-30 | $0.51 – $0.56 | $0.88 | beat |
| 2025-01-31 | $0.89 – $0.91 | $0.94 | beat |
| 2025-04-30 | $0.57 – $0.61 | $0.96 | beat |
| 2025-10-31 | $0.63 – $0.68 | $1.00 | beat |
| 2026-01-31 | $0.69 – $0.74 | $1.04 | beat |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 29%; 252d 26%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −14%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLK) — 0.05 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 56/100, drawdown 73/100, beta 5/100, earnings vol —.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 8 guided quarters · 30.9% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase revenue for fiscal 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Cisco aims to increase its revenue for the fiscal year 2026.
On track →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue grew from $13.84 billion in 2025-Q1 to $15.35 billion in 2026-Q2, indicating progress towards the FY 2026 revenue target of $61.2 billion to $61.7 billion. The trajectory is delivering on the stated priority.
65%CEO/CFO:“Cisco estimates FY 2026 Revenue $61.2 billion to $61.7 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-11Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Cisco estimates FY 2026 Revenue $61.2 billion to $61.7 billion.”
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Cisco estimates FY 2026 Revenue $60.2 billion - $61.0 billion.”
- #2
Maintain non-GAAP EPS for fiscal 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Cisco aims to maintain its non-GAAP EPS for the fiscal year 2026.
On track →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS increased from $0.68 in 2025-Q1 to $0.80 in 2026-Q2, supporting the FY 2026 Non-GAAP EPS target of $4.13 to $4.17. The trajectory is delivering on the stated priority.
65%CEO/CFO:“Cisco estimates FY 2026 Non-GAAP EPS $4.13 - $4.17.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-11Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Cisco estimates FY 2026 Non-GAAP EPS $4.13 - $4.17.”
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Cisco estimates Non-GAAP EPS $4.08 - $4.14.”
- #3
Executive leadership transition
TalentNew since 2026-05-04Cisco is undergoing an executive leadership transition.
WatchNewly stated in 2026-Q2. The CEO transition is underway with Daniel H. Schulman's resignation from the Board effective May 21, 2026. This transition is a key focus for Cisco's leadership strategy.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“CEO transition: Daniel H. Schulman resigns from the Board effective May 21, 2026.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-06Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (1)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“CEO transition: Daniel H. Schulman resigns from the Board effective May 21, 2026.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CSCO Cisco | +19 | full | moderate |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +20 | full | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | +19 | full | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | +27 | fair | elevated |
AVGO Broadcom | +11 | expensive | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-02-11)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-02-11)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-017d agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment of Officer; Departure of Officer On April 27, 2026, M. Victoria Wong notified Cisco Systems, Inc. ("Cisco") of her decision to retire as Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer of Cisco effective May 19, 2026. Ms. Wong will remain employed by Cisco as an Executive Advisor through July 25, 2026. On April 27 , 2026, the Board o…
executive changeneutralscore 48 - 2026-04-061mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Departure of Director On March 31, 2026, in light of the increased time and focus required of his new role as Chief Executive Officer of Verizon Communications Inc., Daniel H. Schulman notified Cisco Systems, Inc. (“Cisco”) of his decision to resign from the Board of Directors ("Board") of Cisco effective May 21, 2026. Appointment of Director On Ap…
executive changeneutralscore 38 - 2026-02-112mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 11, 2026, Cisco Systems, Inc. (“Cisco”) reported its results of operations for its fiscal second quarter 2026 ended January 24, 2026. A copy of the press release issued by Cisco concerning the foregoing results is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. The information contained herein and in the accompanying exhibit shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing of Cisco, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless o…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 9 - 2025-10-176mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Departure of Director On October 15, 2025, Wesley G. Bush notified Cisco Systems, Inc. (“Cisco”) of his decision not to stand for re-election at Cisco’s 2025 annual meeting of stockholders (the “2025 Annual Meeting”). Mr. Bush will continue to serve as a director until the 2025 Annual Meeting. SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securiti…
executive changeneutralscore 1 - 2025-06-0911mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On June 5, 2025, the Compensation and Management Development Committee of the Board of Directors of Cisco Systems, Inc. (“Cisco”) approved an equity award for Mark Patterson in connection with his appointment as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer of Cisco, as previously disclosed on a For…
executive changeneutralscore 0
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.