Coterra (CTRA)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$32.56-8.62%
Close 2026-05-06 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CTRA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 38 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CTRA — legal / regulatory event — Prior to the consummation of the Merger, shares of Company Common
Dated 2026-05-07
Prior to the consummation of the Merger, shares of Company Common Stock were listed and traded on the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) under the trading symbol “CTRA.” In connection with the consummation of the Merger, the Company notified the NYSE that the Merger had been completed and requested that the NYSE delist the shares of Company Common Stock. Upon the Company’s request, the NYSE filed a notification of removal from listing on Form 25 with the SEC with respect to the delisting an…
Why it matters: The merger is key for Coterra's growth and value creation. It aims to unlock $1 billion in annual synergies.
Supportive ifThe merger will close in Q2 2026 as planned. All necessary approvals are obtained.
Worry ifThe merger may face delays. It might not get shareholder approval.
Why it matters: Staying within the $2.25 billion guidance shows smart spending. This helps financial strength and shareholder returns.
Supportive if2026 capital spending is reported at or below $2.25 billion.
Worry ifCapital spending is more than $2.25 billion. This may mean they are overspending.
Why it matters: Achieving this target reflects strong financial health and supports shareholder returns. It is a key metric for investors.
Supportive ifFree cash flow reported at or above $2.35 billion for 2026.
Worry ifFree cash flow falls below $2.35 billion, indicating financial strain.
Why it matters: Meeting production targets is key for revenue and cash flow. It shows how well operations run.
Watch forTotal production reported at or above 750 MBoepd for 2026.
Also watch forTotal production is below 750 MBoepd. This shows there may be operational problems.
Why it matters: Plans for dividends and buybacks show a commitment to giving back to shareholders. This is key for investor trust.
Supportive ifCoterra announces a quarterly dividend of $0.315 per share. It also has a buyback plan over $5 billion.
Worry ifNo news on dividends or buybacks may mean cash flow problems.
Why it matters: Spending $2.25 billion on capital is key for managing finances well.
Supportive ifCoterra plans to spend $2.25 billion or less on capital in 2026.
Worry ifCapital spending goes well over $2.25 billion.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows strong finances. It also shows a commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifCoterra reports free cash flow of $2.35 billion for 2026 in its financial results.
Worry ifFree cash flow falls significantly below the $2.35 billion target.
Why it matters: Hitting production goals helps the company make more money. It is key for success.
Watch forCoterra reports total production of 750 to 810 MBoepd for 2026.
Also watch forProduction falls below the lower end of the 750 MBoepd guidance.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$136 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $338 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,493 loss on $10,000 · 14.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.