Dominion Energy (D)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
$65.84-1.42%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · D
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 0.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 31 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
D — litigation filed
Dated 2026-08-25
Other Events. As previously disclosed, on May 15, 2026, Dominion Energy, Inc. (Dominion Energy) entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the Merger Agreement) with NextEra Energy, Inc. (NextEra Energy), WG Development Corp., a wholly owned subsidiary of NextEra Energy (Merger Sub Corp), and CS Holdco, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of NextEra Energy (LLC Sub). Pursuant to the terms and subject to the conditions in the Merger Agreement and the related plans of merger, (i) Merger Sub Corp…
Why it matters: Ongoing lawsuits could delay the merger with NextEra Energy. This may affect the future.
Worry ifNo new lawsuits or regulatory problems arise. This helps keep the merger on schedule.
Less concerning ifNew lawsuits or regulatory problems are reported. These could slow down the merger.
Why it matters: Confirming guidance shows management believes they can meet earnings goals. This affects investor trust.
Supportive ifManagement says 2026 earnings will be $3.45 to $3.69 per share.
Worry ifManagement says 2026 earnings will be below $3.45 per share.
Why it matters: Litigation could impact the merger timeline and financial outlook. It is crucial for assessing risks.
Worry ifIf litigation ends well, the merger can move forward without delays.
Less concerning ifIf new litigation starts, it may threaten the merger or cause big delays.
Why it matters: Details about the recent debt could change the company's financing costs and financial health.
Watch forDominion Energy reports good terms on the recent $825 million debt.
Also watch forDominion Energy shows bad terms or higher rates on the debt.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how well the company is doing. They will show if it can meet its goals.
Watch forQ2 earnings per share exceed the midpoint of the 2026 guidance range of $3.57.
Also watch forQ2 earnings per share fall below the lower end of the 2026 guidance range of $3.45.
Why it matters: Updates on this project show progress in clean energy. It affects future growth.
Supportive ifManagement says the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project will be done in early 2027.
Worry ifThere are delays or big cost overruns for the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project.
Why it matters: The $2.25 billion in bill credits may make customers happier. This could increase loyalty.
Supportive ifCustomer feedback shows more satisfaction due to the bill credits.
Worry ifCustomer satisfaction goes down even with the bill credits.
Why it matters: The merger will create the largest electric utility. This could improve efficiency and growth.
Supportive ifThe merger is complete and announced to shareholders.
Worry ifThe merger is delayed or blocked due to regulatory issues.
Why it matters: Legal issues with the merger could change if the deal goes through. This affects Dominion's growth.
Worry ifThe court supports Dominion Energy. The merger can move forward without delays.
Less concerning ifThe court rules against Dominion Energy. This causes delays or ends the merger.
Why it matters: Growth in earnings shows the company is financially healthy and can meet guidance.
Supportive ifQ3 operating earnings exceed $0.79 per share, showing growth from Q2.
Worry ifQ3 earnings fall below $0.79 per share, which may show problems.
Why it matters: Affirming the EPS guidance shows stable financial performance. It helps investors gauge growth potential.
Supportive ifDominion Energy confirms its 2026 EPS guidance range of $3.45 to $3.69 per share.
Worry ifThe company revises its EPS guidance downwards below $3.45 per share.
Why it matters: Updates on EPS growth guidance show how well Dominion is managing its long-term financial goals.
Watch forManagement raises the EPS growth target to over 9% through 2032.
Also watch forManagement lowers the EPS growth target to below 9% through 2032.
Why it matters: Approval progress will show how likely the merger is to close and help Dominion.
Supportive ifRegulatory approvals for the merger are granted or on track.
Worry ifThere are delays or problems that could slow down the merger.
Why it matters: Narrowing guidance shows clearer earnings. This can impact how the stock performs.
Supportive ifManagement narrows 2025 EPS guidance to a range of $2.70 to $2.90.
Worry ifManagement fails to narrow 2025 EPS guidance or widens it beyond $2.50 to $3.00.
Why it matters: Changes in credit ratings affect how much it costs to borrow money. They also change how flexible projects can be.
Watch forCredit ratings go up after issuing debt. This leads to lower costs for financing.
Also watch forCredit ratings drop after issuing debt, raising financing costs.
Why it matters: The rollout of bill credits will show how the merger benefits customers. It can enhance customer satisfaction and loyalty.
Supportive ifDominion Energy shares that it has given out the first phase of $2.25 billion in bill credits.
Worry ifDelays or issues in the rollout of the bill credits are reported.
Why it matters: The debt issuance could affect Dominion's financial health and cost of capital.
Watch forDetails of the debt issuance show favorable terms and lower interest rates.
Also watch forNew debt terms show higher interest rates or bad conditions.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$71 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $199 loss on $10,000 · 2.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $978 loss on $10,000 · 9.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.