DuPont (DD)
NYSEMaterialsChemicalsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$131.59+0.35%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicalsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 37.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -7.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 45.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DD — capital allocation — Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders
Dated 2026-06-24
Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders. To the extent required by
Why it matters: Margin growth shows good cost control and efficiency. This can help investor trust.
Supportive ifThe operating EBITDA margin was more than 24.6%.
Worry ifThe operating EBITDA margin was 24.6% or less.
Why it matters: Aligning guidance shows DuPont's commitment to long-term growth. It is crucial for investor trust.
Supportive if2026 guidance matches the medium-term goals set by management.
Worry if2026 guidance does not match the medium-term targets.
Why it matters: This would support the raised full-year EPS guidance and show strong earnings momentum.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 adjusted EPS reported at or above $0.59.
Worry ifQ2 2026 adjusted EPS reported below $0.59.
Why it matters: The outcome will show how DuPont handles its debt after the separation.
Watch forSuccessful completion of the tender offer with a high acceptance rate for the 2048 Notes.
Also watch forLow acceptance rate or failure to complete the tender offer by the expiration date.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$132 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $283 loss on $10,000 · 2.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,731 loss on $10,000 · 17.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The CEO change affects the company's strategy and stability. Clear updates can help investors.
Watch forManagement gives a good update on the CEO change process.
Also watch forFurther delays or issues arise in the CEO transition.
Why it matters: This buyback is part of DuPont's plan to give value to shareholders. It can impact stock performance.
Supportive ifDuPont finishes the $275 million share buyback by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo progress is reported on the share repurchase by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: How well the tender offer goes affects DuPont's debt and money management.
Watch forThe tender offer works if they accept the maximum amount.
Also watch forNot finishing the tender offer or taking much less than the maximum is a bad sign.
Why it matters: Qnity's results will show how well DuPont's split and focus worked.
Watch forQnity has strong earnings or growth in the first quarter after the split.
Also watch forQnity has weak earnings or growth in the first quarter after the split.
Why it matters: Raising EPS guidance shows better earnings and more growth confidence.
Supportive ifManagement raises full year 2026 EPS guidance during the Q3 earnings call.
Worry ifManagement maintains or lowers EPS guidance during the Q3 earnings call.
Why it matters: Completing this shows DuPont can handle debt. It also improves its capital structure after the electronics split.
Supportive ifDuPont buys back $739 million of its 2048 Notes by the December 3, 2025 deadline.
Worry ifThe tender offer does not reach the maximum amount. It may also be extended without finishing.
Why it matters: More share repurchases show management believes in the company's financial health. This can help share price.
Supportive ifNew share repurchase plans announced for over $250 million.
Worry ifNo new share repurchase announcements or a halt in the current plan.
Why it matters: Finishing this repurchase shows good use of funds and value for shareholders.
Supportive ifThe $275 million share repurchase is now complete.
Worry ifNo news on the completion or delays of the share repurchase program.
Why it matters: The success of these offers will change DuPont's debt and financial options.
Supportive ifDuPont will exchange the targeted amount of 2028, 2038, and 2048 Notes by September 30, 2025.
Worry ifDuPont fails to meet the minimum tender conditions for the Exchange Offers.
Why it matters: If revenue grows in the materials sector, it may show that DuPont is recovering.
Watch forMaterials sector revenue growth is positive compared to last year.
Also watch forMaterials sector revenue growth is negative compared to last year.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if DuPont can maintain momentum after the recent earnings beat.
Watch forQ2 earnings beat expectations similar to Q1.
Also watch forQ2 earnings fall short of expectations.
Why it matters: Achieving this growth would confirm DuPont's ability to meet its 2026 targets. It shows strong demand across its markets.
Supportive ifQ3 organic sales grew over 4%.
Worry ifQ3 organic sales grew under 3%.
Why it matters: If this guidance is confirmed, it shows DuPont can earn well and manage costs.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS reported at or above $7.24 for the full year.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS reported below $7.17 for the full year.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow shows DuPont can make cash from its operations.
Supportive ifFree cash flow conversion reported above 100%.
Worry ifFree cash flow conversion reported below 100%.