Easterly Government Properties, Inc. (DEA)
NYSEReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-11-05
$22.52-3.26%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DEA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -39.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 41.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DEA — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-26
as well as the attached Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 are being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for any purpose, including for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing. We will h…
Why it matters: The 2027 Core FFO range starts at $3.09 per share, just above the 2026 range. Results above that level would support continued growth.
Supportive ifFull-year 2027 Core FFO is at least $3.09 per share, within or above the stated $3.09–$3.17 range.
Worry ifFull-year 2027 Core FFO is below $3.09 per share, or management cuts the range.
Why it matters: Both projects are under construction and have planned 20-year GSA leases. A delay could push back lease income.
Supportive ifThe company reports both projects complete and says their 20-year GSA leases have begun.
Worry ifEither project is still unfinished, or its planned GSA lease has not started by the next project update.
Why it matters: The board approved another $0.45 per-share dividend. Payment on the stated date would confirm the same quarterly amount continued.
Supportive ifThe company pays $0.45 per common share on November 20, 2026.
Worry ifThe company delays, cuts, or cancels the $0.45 per-share payment.
Why it matters: Management raised its 2026 Core FFO range to $3.08–$3.13 per share. Results at or above the low end would support that higher outlook.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 Core FFO is at least $3.08 per share, within or above the latest guidance range of $3.08–$3.13.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 Core FFO is below $3.08 per share, or management cuts its latest range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$73 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $215 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,623 loss on $10,000 · 16.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.