Dollar General (DG)
NYSEConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-11-05
$138.00-2.57%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 3.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 83.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 79.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 2 industry peers
DG — litigation filed
Dated 2026-10-26
OTHER EVENTS Dollar General Corporation (the “Company”) has been cooperating with the staff of the United States Federal Trade Commission (the “FTC”) since early February 2026 in response to a Civil Investigative Demand dated January 30, 2026, issued in connection with a non-public investigation seeking information regarding the Company’s marketing, advertising, offering for sale and sale of products. On September 23, 2026, the Company received from the FTC staff a draft federal court complai…
Why it matters: The FTC investigation covers how Dollar General markets and sells products. A filed case could bring legal costs or limits on those sales.
Worry ifThe FTC files a complaint in federal court or announces a deal tied to its investigation.
Less concerning ifThe FTC ends its investigation without filing a complaint or seeking a deal.
Why it matters: The raised 2026 EPS range needs strong results after the first half. A Q3 result below $1.95 would trail last year's Q3 level.
Worry ifQ3 diluted EPS is below $1.95, or Dollar General cuts its 2026 EPS range below $7.80.
Less concerning ifQ3 diluted EPS is at least $1.95 and the 2026 EPS range stays at $7.80–$8.00 or rises.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$159 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $340 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,456 loss on $10,000 · 34.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.