DG
Dollar GeneralNYSEConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, DG has a composite score of 18.2 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a high confidence level of 80.4 and strengths in quality (63.3) and valuation (70.4), which is labeled as inexpensive. The analysis is provisional and reflects various macroeconomic factors, including labor, inflation, rates, and growth.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.01
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $2.00 → $1.99 (-0.3% / 30d). 2 raised, 11 cut, 19 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 43% of analysts rate Buy.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
3 material events in the last 24 months — top 3 listed below.
Stated priorities
Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 31%; 252d 37%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −27%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLP) — 1.01 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 39/100, drawdown 46/100, beta 99/100, earnings vol —.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
DG Dollar General | +18 | inexpensive | moderate |
WMT Walmart | -9.3 | expensive | low |
COST Costco | +3.9 | expensive | moderate |
PG Procter & Gamble | +15 | fair | low |
KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | +14 | full | low |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-03-12)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-03-12)-8.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
- If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-03-241mo agoItem 5.02
DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS. On March 20, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Dollar General Corporation (the “Company”) approved the hiring of Jerry W. “JJ” Fleeman, Jr. to succeed Todd J. Vasos as the Company’s Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”) expected to be effective as of January 1, 2027 (the “Transition Date”). The Board intends to appoint Mr. Fleeman as a member…
executive changeneutralscore 28 - 2026-03-121mo agoItem 2.02
above is incorporated herein by reference. The news release also: · sets forth statements regarding, among other things, the Company’s fiscal year 2026 outlook and long-term financial framework, as well as the Company’s planned conference call to discuss the reported financial results, the Company’s fiscal year 2026 outlook and long-term financial framework, and certain other matters; and · announces that on March 11, 2026, the Company’s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend o…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 19 - 2026-02-033mo agoItem 5.02
DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS. On January 28, 2026, Warren F. Bryant informed Dollar General Corporation (the “Company”) that he will retire from the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) effective upon the expiration of his current term at the Company’s 2026 annual meeting of shareholders. Mr. Bryant’s decision is not the result of any disagreement with the Company.
executive changeneutralscore 6 - 2025-12-045mo agoItem 2.02
above is incorporated herein by reference. The news release also: · sets forth statements regarding, among other things, the Company’s outlook, as well as the Company’s planned conference call to discuss the reported financial results, the Company’s outlook, and certain other matters; and · announces that on December 2, 2025, the Company’s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.59 per share on the Company’s outstanding common stock payable on or before January 20, 2026, t…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 2 - 2025-07-169mo agoItem 5.02
DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS. On July 11, 2025, Kelly M. Dilts, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Dollar General Corporation (the “Company”), informed the Company of her decision to resign, effective August 28, 2025, to pursue another opportunity. The Company has commenced a search for her successor.
executive changeneutralscore 0
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.