Exelon (EXC)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
$43.64-2.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EXC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -8.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 31 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EXC — CFO transition
Dated 2026-08-25
Chief Operating Officer — Michael Innocenzo: The filing announces the planned departure of a senior executive (COO/President) with an orderly transition and simultaneous internal promotions to fill the resulting vacancies, indicating a managed succession rather than a sudden loss.
Why it matters: Updates on the capital spending plan show how Exelon invests for growth. This affects its ability to improve infrastructure and service.
Supportive ifExelon shares progress on its $41.7 billion CAPEX plan. It details specific projects or milestones.
Worry ifExelon delays or reduces its $41.7 billion CAPEX plan without a clear reason.
Why it matters: Challenges in the sector may impact Exelon's revenue growth. Knowing this helps assess performance.
Worry ifExelon reports revenue growth below 5% in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifExelon reports revenue growth above 5% in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Updates on this plan show Exelon's focus on growth and reliability. It affects future earnings.
Supportive ifExelon shares updates on its spending plan. It shows completed projects and investments.
Worry ifExelon delays or cuts the spending plan without a clear reason.
Why it matters: Confirming this guidance shows Exelon's confidence in its earnings growth. It signals stability and growth potential.
Supportive ifExelon maintains its 2026 EPS guidance during the next earnings call on July 30, 2026.
Worry ifExelon revises its EPS guidance downward from the current range of $2.81-$2.91.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$81 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $205 loss on $10,000 · 2.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,374 loss on $10,000 · 13.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This decision will affect BGE's revenue. It could also impact Exelon's earnings.
Supportive ifMDPSC approves BGE's request for a $156 million rate increase.
Worry ifMDPSC denies or cuts BGE's rate increase request.
Why it matters: Progress on spending for projects is key for future growth and better service.
Supportive ifManagement reports completion of at least 25% of the $41.7 billion CAPEX plan within the next year.
Worry ifBig delays or cuts in the CAPEX plan are announced.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if EPS growth is on track with the 5-7% CAGR target. This affects future outlook.
Watch forEarnings report shows EPS growth near or at the top end of the 5-7% CAGR.
Also watch forEarnings report shows EPS growth below the 5% mark.
Why it matters: This report will reveal if the earnings miss trend continues or improves.
Watch forThe earnings report shows better results than what was expected before.
Also watch forEarnings report shows another miss or negative guidance.
Why it matters: PECO's choice to withdraw its rate review filings shows it cares about customer costs. Future updates will show how it balances this with needed investments.
Watch forPECO files a new rate case with a fair rate increase for infrastructure upgrades.
Also watch forPECO keeps withdrawing rate filings or delays new proposals. This shows ongoing customer cost concerns.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this guidance shows strong financial health. It also shows growth potential.
Supportive ifQ2 adjusted operating earnings per share were at or above $2.81.
Worry ifQ2 adjusted operating earnings per share were below $2.81.
Why it matters: Confirming the EPS guidance shows Exelon can meet its financial goals during tough times.
Supportive ifAdjusted operating earnings for Q3 2026 fall within the affirmed range of $2.81-$2.91 per share.
Worry ifQ3 2026 adjusted operating earnings fall below $2.81 per share.