Exelon (EXC)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
$46.53+0.63%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EXC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -3.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -3.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EXC — CFO transition
Dated 2026-08-25
Chief Operating Officer — Michael Innocenzo: The filing announces the planned departure of a senior executive (COO/President) with an orderly transition and simultaneous internal promotions to fill the resulting vacancies, indicating a managed succession rather than a sudden loss.
Why it matters: The commission approved a $51 million annual rate increase, effective August 10. Future results can show whether it helps cover costs and investment.
Supportive ifPHI adjusted earnings rise from last year. Exelon links the gain to approved rates and updated cost recovery.
Worry ifPHI adjusted earnings fall year over year, with higher costs offsetting the rate increase.
Why it matters: Exelon narrowed its 2026 earnings range after a strong third quarter. The full-year result tests that guidance.
Watch forFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS lands at $2.85 or higher, within the $2.85-$2.91 range.
Also watch forFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS falls below $2.85, or Exelon cuts the range before year-end.
Why it matters: BGE asked for a $156 million annual rate increase. The decision will show how much of its planned costs and investment can be recovered.
Watch forThe Maryland commission approves a rate increase close to BGE's $156 million request.
Also watch forThe commission denies the request or approves an increase well below $156 million.
Why it matters: The plan backs expected rate base growth of 7.9%. Exelon has not reported total spending against the plan in these results.
Supportive ifA later earnings release shows total capital spending near the pace of the $41.7 billion four-year plan.
Worry ifExelon cuts the $41.7 billion plan or reports spending well below its stated pace.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$63 on $10,000 · ±0.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $216 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,006 loss on $10,000 · 20.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: PECO adjusted earnings fell to $167 million from $250 million. Exelon cited higher storm costs and other expenses.
Supportive ifPECO adjusted earnings rise year over year, with lower storm costs than the $2026-Q3 level.
Worry ifPECO adjusted earnings fall again year over year, and storm costs remain higher.