Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN)
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$47.04-0.91%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FBIN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 1.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 17 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FBIN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-03
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 3, 2026, Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting the Company’s third quarter 2026 results, as well as certain guidance for 2026. A copy of the Company’s press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is hereby incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed”…
Why it matters: Outdoors sales fell 3.8% in Q2, while its margin before charges rose to 15.2%. A margin drop would weaken this bright spot.
Watch forQ3 Outdoors operating margin before charges and gains is at least 15%, with sales down less than 4% year over year.
Also watch forQ3 Outdoors margin falls below 13%, or sales decline 5% or more year over year.
Why it matters: The latest EPS range includes $0.52 from tariff refunds. Results below the range would point to weaker earnings, excluding that help.
Watch forFull-year EPS before charges and gains lands at or above $3.22, including the stated $0.52 tariff benefit.
Also watch forFull-year EPS before charges and gains falls below $3.22, even with the stated tariff benefit.
Why it matters: Management kept its 2026 sales outlook at down low single digits. Q3 sales will show whether demand is tracking that view.
Watch forQ3 sales are flat or higher year over year. That beats the full-year down-low-single-digit outlook.
Also watch forQ3 sales fall more than 5% year over year, pointing to a sharper decline than the outlook.
Why it matters: The new CFO takes over after 2026 cash flow targets were cut. His first outlook can show whether the lower targets remain in reach.
Watch forThe CFO keeps full-year free cash flow guidance at $370 million or higher and operating cash flow at $495 million or higher.
Also watch forThe CFO cuts free cash flow guidance below $370 million or operating cash flow below $495 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$155 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $386 loss on $10,000 · 3.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,829 loss on $10,000 · 48.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The Fiberon review led to a $221.2 million asset charge. Sale terms can show what value the company can recover.
Watch forA company filing names a buyer and sale price. Proceeds are at least the $221.2 million Fiberon asset charge.
Also watch forA filing reports no sale, a lower sale price, or another charge for Fiberon assets.
Why it matters: Management raised its cash flow range in Q2, but still set a lower range than in February. The year-end result tests delivery.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 free cash flow is at least $370 million, the low end of the latest range.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 free cash flow is below $370 million.