Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN)
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$43.11+2.13%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FBIN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -12.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 13.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 26 industry peers
FBIN — General Counsel transition
Dated 2026-07-30
Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary — Ms. Hiranda S. Donoghue: Ms. Donoghue departed from the Company, and an interim replacement was named.
Why it matters: Earnings per share shows how profitable a company is. A higher EPS means better financial health.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 EPS before charges/gains exceeds $0.53.
Worry ifQ3 2026 EPS before charges/gains falls below $0.53.
Why it matters: A rebound in revenue growth would show management's focus on growth is working. It is crucial after a revenue drop in Q1.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth turns positive year over year, exceeding $1,033.1M.
Worry ifQ2 revenue continues to decline year over year, staying below $1,011.3M.
Why it matters: Better operating income is key. It will help the company make profits again.
Supportive ifOperating income in Q2 2026 shows growth above $60M.
Worry ifOperating income in Q2 2026 falls below $60M.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if revenue growth is improving after the recent miss.
Watch forQ2 earnings report shows revenue growth above 5% year over year.
Also watch forQ2 earnings report shows revenue growth below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: Positive sector growth could support FBIN's recovery. The sector is currently in a maturing phase.
Watch forSector revenue growth is speeding up again. It is now above 8%.
Also watch forSector revenue growth is slowing down. It is now below 8%.
Why it matters: Earnings per share will show the company's financial health and market trust.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 EPS meets or exceeds the updated guidance of $3.00 to $3.30.
Worry ifQ2 2026 EPS falls below the updated guidance of $3.00.
Why it matters: The management is focused on smart spending. This is important for better financial health.
Supportive ifManagement announces a capex plan within the $110M to $125M range for 2026.
Worry ifManagement lowers capex guidance to below $110M for 2026.
Why it matters: Capex guidance affects how much the company can grow and operate well.
Supportive ifManagement confirms capex guidance of $110M to $125M during Q2 earnings.
Worry ifManagement cuts capex guidance to below $110M during Q2 earnings.
Why it matters: The new CEO's vision may change the company's strategy and performance.
Watch forAnnouncement of a new permanent CEO within the next few months.
Also watch forNo progress reported on the CEO search after three months.
Why it matters: A downward change would show a worse financial outlook and operational issues.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 EPS guidance revised down from $3.22 to $3.00.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 EPS guidance remains stable or is revised up.
Why it matters: A bigger drop would show worse market conditions and execution problems.
Worry ifQ3 2026 sales decline worse than 4.1% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 2026 sales decline less than or stabilize year over year.
Why it matters: Better results mean lower costs and better efficiency.
Supportive ifOperating income before charges/gains rises over 18.4% from last year.
Worry ifOperating income before charges/gains grows less than 18.4% or declines.
Why it matters: A higher ratio shows more debt and possible financial stress.
Worry ifNet debt to EBITDA ratio exceeds 2.9x.
Less concerning ifNet debt to EBITDA ratio remains at or below 2.9x.
Why it matters: Stable leaders can help with execution. This can also increase investor trust.
Supportive ifNo further significant leadership changes within the next six months.
Worry ifMore major leadership changes happen within six months.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$194 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $401 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,829 loss on $10,000 · 48.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.