Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Flowco Holdings, Inc. (FLOC)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$19.05-2.11%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
1.69 → 1.68 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 2 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 5 to 2; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for FLOC yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
4 published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Quarterly dividend increased by 12.5% to $0.09 per share | The company raised its quarterly dividend by 12.5% to $0.09 per share. | Intact | Dividend per share falls below $0.09 quarterly | Dividend per share: $0.23 per share FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >=$0.09 per share quarterly. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Nov 4, 20260.23 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
FLOC is an energy-sector growth and cash-generation story, with recent acquisition activity adding to its production-solutions business. The multi-year view is intact, though recent financial performance is neutral and management execution has been volatile.
The valuation evidence is mixed: FLOC is described as cheap versus peers, while another measure shows a peer premium, and the expectations gap is negative. The overall pricing signal is tagged as justified, with low fragility rather than a setup that depends on several pressures at once.
Near term, revenue rose from the first to the second quarter of 2026, while reported free cash flow eased modestly; the regular quarterly dividend continued. Production Solutions revenue also increased, partly due to Valiant, but integration and cross-selling opportunities remain ongoing. A guidance cut would be a meaningful risk, and recent earnings surprises have been erratic despite a low estimated miss risk.
Over the next few quarters, the thesis depends on FLOC maintaining guidance and sustaining cash generation as it integrates Valiant. Energy-sector support would remain favorable if SLB, BKR, and HAL continue to report strong results and raise guidance; misses or lower guidance from those companies could weaken that tailwind.
For the 1-to-3-year view, FLOC’s business case remains intact, but evidence is mixed on cash-flow progress and management execution, with sector conditions an important swing factor. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| It generates strong free cash flow near $63 million in 2026. |
| Intact |
| Free cash flow falls below $63 million in FY26 |
Free cash flow: $49.758M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=63.17 USD millions. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 11, 202649,758,000 USD · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Successful integration of Riverstone Oilfield Services acquisition | A supporting condition in Flowco Holdings, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is Successful integration and contribution to growth. | Intact | Acquisition fails to contribute or causes operational issues | Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue growth of about 19% in 2026 | A primary condition in Flowco Holdings, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is >=18.6% YoY. | Broken | YoY revenue growth falls below 18.6% in FY26 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$1.77 → $1.68 · observed estimates
$1.00B → $1.05B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $1.77 | $1,000,076,490 | 8 / 8 |
| 2026-07-25 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-07-26 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-07-27 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-07-28 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-07-29 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-07-30 | $1.77 | $1,000,076,490 | 8 / 8 |
| 2026-07-31 | $1.77 | $1,000,076,490 | 8 / 8 |
| 2026-08-01 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-02 | $1.77 | $1,000,076,490 | 8 / 8 |
| 2026-08-03 | $1.77 | $1,000,076,490 | 8 / 8 |
| 2026-08-04 | $1.77 | $1,000,076,490 | 8 / 8 |
| 2026-08-05 | $1.77 | $1,000,063,990 | 8 / 8 |
| 2026-08-06 | $1.77 | $1,000,063,990 | 8 / 8 |
| 2026-08-07 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-08 | $1.77 | $1,000,063,990 | 8 / 8 |
| 2026-08-09 | $1.77 | $1,000,063,990 | 8 / 8 |
| 2026-08-10 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-11 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-12 | $1.77 | $1,000,063,990 | 8 / 8 |
| 2026-08-13 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-14 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-15 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-16 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-17 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-18 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-19 | $1.80 | $1,005,478,160 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-20 | $1.70 | $1,005,636,112 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-21 | $1.69 | $1,005,802,464 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-22 | $1.69 | $1,005,802,464 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-23 | $1.69 | $1,005,802,464 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-24 | $1.69 | $1,005,802,464 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-25 | $1.69 | $1,005,802,464 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-26 | $1.69 | $1,005,802,464 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-27 | $1.69 | $1,005,802,464 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-28 | $1.69 | $1,005,802,464 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-29 | $1.69 | $1,005,802,464 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-30 | $1.69 | $1,005,802,464 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-31 | $1.69 | $1,005,802,464 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-01 | $1.69 | $1,005,802,464 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-02 | $1.69 | $1,005,802,464 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-03 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-04 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-05 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-06 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-07 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-08 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-09 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-10 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-11 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-12 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-13 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-14 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-15 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-16 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-17 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-18 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-19 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-20 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1.69 | $1,013,169,910 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1.69 | $1,013,196,350 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-26 | $1.69 | $1,013,196,350 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-27 | $1.69 | $1,013,196,350 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1.69 | $1,013,196,350 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1.69 | $1,013,196,350 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1.69 | $1,013,196,350 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1.69 | $1,014,118,572 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1.69 | $1,014,118,572 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-03 | $1.69 | $1,020,118,572 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-04 | $1.69 | $1,020,118,572 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1.69 | $1,020,118,572 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1.69 | $1,020,118,572 | 1 / 3 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1.69 | $1,020,118,572 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1.69 | $1,020,118,572 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1.69 | $1,032,896,350 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $1.69 | $1,032,896,350 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $1.70 | $1,032,896,350 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1.70 | $1,032,896,350 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1.70 | $1,032,896,350 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1.70 | $1,032,896,350 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1.70 | $1,032,896,350 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1.70 | $1,032,896,350 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1.70 | $1,032,896,350 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1.70 | $1,032,896,350 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1.70 | $1,032,896,350 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1.70 | $1,032,896,350 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1.67 | $1,055,650,322 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1.67 | $1,055,650,322 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1.67 | $1,055,650,322 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1.67 | $1,055,650,322 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1.67 | $1,055,650,322 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1.67 | $1,055,650,322 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1.67 | $1,055,650,322 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1.67 | $1,055,650,322 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1.67 | $1,055,650,322 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1.67 | $1,055,650,322 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1.67 | $1,055,650,322 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.67 | $1,055,650,322 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1.67 | $1,055,650,322 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1.67 | $1,055,650,322 | 2 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1.68 | $1,049,133,619 | 2 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 8 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earnings4 of 4 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.