Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT)
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FRT
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $117 FRT trades at 11× p/ffo, below its 12× p/ffo peer median, but our blended $107 fair value sits below the price. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $116–$149. Note: our $107 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($116–$149). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $128.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $274.68 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $260.88 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $78.67 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$116.00 – $149.00 (median $128.50) · 16 analysts · as of 2026-08-17
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $72.98 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $77.55 | 21.4 | 3.63 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FFO | 12M | $134.31 | 12.5 | 10.76 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $112.32 | 7.3 | 15.49 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $50.05 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $127.50 | 21.5 | 5.94 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $75.78 | 12.5 | 6.07 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $117.94 | 21.4 | 5.52 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FFO | 3Y | $177.46 | 12.5 | 14.21 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $130.68 | 7.3 | 18.02 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $30.16 | 21.5 | 1.41 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $155.97 | 21.4 | 7.30 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FFO | 5Y | $213.67 | 12.5 | 17.11 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $144.20 | 7.3 | 19.89 | Analyst | medium |