Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT)
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-07-07
$122.03+1.22%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $122.03. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $122 FRT trades at 12× p/ffo, below its 13× p/ffo peer median, but our blended $108 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $110–$135. Note: our $108 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($110–$135). Not investment advice.
$110.00 – $135.00 (median $125.00) · 12 analysts · as of 2026-07-07
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $125.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $133.04 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $117.85 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $77.94 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $71.60 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $52.68 | 13.2 | 3.98 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $75.22 | 23.3 | 3.23 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FFO | 12M | $135.23 | 13.2 | 10.23 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $119.07 | 7.9 | 15.13 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $49.07 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $150.63 | 25.8 | 5.84 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $76.82 | 13.2 | 5.81 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $14.67 | 13.2 | 1.11 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $114.40 | 23.3 | 4.91 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FFO | 3Y | $171.70 | 13.2 | 12.99 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $141.24 | 7.9 | 17.94 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $41.94 | 25.8 | 1.63 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $151.29 | 23.3 | 6.50 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/FFO | 5Y | $201.33 | 13.2 | 15.23 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $157.89 | 7.9 | 20.06 | Analyst | low |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $17.88 | 25.8 | 0.69 | Analyst | low |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.