Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT)
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$114.63+2.68%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FRT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 0.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FRT — debt issuance
Dated 2026-11-02
Other Events. As previously disclosed, on August 11, 2026 Federal Realty OP LP issued $460,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 3.500% Exchangeable Senior Notes due 2031 (the “Exchangeable Notes”). On November 2, 2026, Federal Realty Investment Trust filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission a prospectus supplement relating to the resale by certain selling shareholders of up to 3,901,260 common shares of beneficial interest, $.01 par value per share (the “Underlying Shares”), potenti…
Why it matters: FRT raised its 2026 Core FFO range again in Q3. The year-end result will test whether recent growth met that higher bar.
Watch forFRT reports 2026 Core FFO per diluted share of at least $7.54, within or above the Q3 range.
Also watch forFRT reports 2026 Core FFO per diluted share below $7.54.
Why it matters: New leases have brought much higher rents. Steady rent gains can support property income and FFO growth.
Supportive ifIn the next reported quarter, comparable retail leases show cash rent growth of 14% or more.
Worry ifCash rent growth on comparable retail leases falls below 10%.
Why it matters: FRT paid $508 million for this large retail center after quarter end. Its first operating results will show how the property is performing.
Watch forFRT reports The Summit's leased rate at or above 96.5%, matching the Q3 portfolio leased rate.
Also watch forFRT reports The Summit's leased rate below 93.8%, the same as Q3 portfolio occupancy.
Why it matters: The notes can turn into common shares at about $138.54 per share. Any exchange could raise the share count and reduce FFO per share.
Worry ifFRT reports that note holders exchanged notes for shares, and its diluted share count rises.
Less concerning ifFRT reports no share exchange, with diluted share count flat or lower year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$63 on $10,000 · ±0.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $145 loss on $10,000 · 1.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,759 loss on $10,000 · 17.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.