Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$22.16-10.36%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
1.11 → 1.13 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 3 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 3 to 3; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for FTK yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Achieve 2026 Adjusted EBITDA of $36M to $41M | Profit (adjusted EBITDA) is expected near $38.5 million. | Improving | Adjusted EBITDA falls below $36 million in FY26 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
FTK is an execution-dependent energy business with a potential recurring-revenue element, rather than a clearly established durable compounder. The 1–3 year thesis is intact, with recent results and raised guidance supporting the case, but earnings quality remains fragile and overall risk is high.
Valuation is described as neutral, with FTK around peer levels and the valuation and expectations signals aligned. The evidence suggests the current setup is broadly justified, not that unusually optimistic assumptions are required, though confidence in the valuation read is medium.
Near term, revenue and adjusted EBITDA have grown, and management raised its 2026 guidance; the 10-year power services contract is early evidence of progress toward more recurring revenue. The next results remain a risk because the industry has a high rate of earnings misses and FTK’s recent surprises have been erratic.
Over the multi-year view, the thesis depends on FTK delivering its raised 2026 guidance and turning the power services contract into durable recurring revenue. Near term, a guidance reversal would damage credibility, while the sector backdrop depends in part on whether SLB, BKR, and HAL continue to report strong results and outlooks.
The 1–3 year read is intact but high risk: recent execution is strong, while fragile earnings quality and exposure to sector momentum leave meaningful uncertainty. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A supporting condition in Flotek Industries, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is >= $0.54 per share. |
| Intact |
| EPS falls below $0.54 in FY26 |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Achieve 2026 revenue of $270M to $290M | A primary condition in Flotek Industries, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is >= $270 million and <= $290 million. | Intact | Revenue falls below $270 million in FY26 | Revenue: $99.367M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $270 million and <= $290 million. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 6, 202699,367,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.94 → $1.13 · observed estimates
$0.32B → $0.41B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.94 | $322,107,371 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.80 | $321,280,000 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.80 | $321,280,000 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.94 | $322,107,371 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.94 | $322,107,371 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.94 | $322,107,371 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.80 | $321,280,000 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.80 | $321,280,000 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.94 | $322,107,371 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.80 | $321,280,000 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.80 | $321,280,000 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.80 | $321,280,000 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.80 | $321,280,000 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.80 | $321,280,000 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-08-07 | $1.09 | $361,371,429 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.89 | $376,240,000 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-08-09 | $1.09 | $361,371,429 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.89 | $376,240,000 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.89 | $376,240,000 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.89 | $376,240,000 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-08-14 | $1.09 | $361,371,429 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | $1.09 | $361,371,429 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | $1.09 | $361,371,429 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | $1.09 | $361,371,429 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | $1.09 | $361,371,429 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | $1.09 | $361,371,429 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | $1.12 | $394,114,286 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | $1.12 | $394,114,286 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-07 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | $1.07 | $389,428,571 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | $1.08 | $391,384,186 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | $1.09 | $394,812,757 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-13 | $1.09 | $394,812,757 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | $1.09 | $394,812,757 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | $1.09 | $394,812,757 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | $1.09 | $394,812,757 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | $1.11 | $401,784,186 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-18 | $1.11 | $401,784,186 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-19 | $1.11 | $401,784,186 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-20 | $1.11 | $401,784,186 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1.11 | $401,784,186 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1.11 | $401,784,186 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1.11 | $401,784,186 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1.11 | $401,784,186 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-26 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-27 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-03 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-04 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-10 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-11 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1.11 | $401,785,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1.13 | $409,285,714 | 3 / 4 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 6 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.