Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$24.72-0.48%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FTK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -11.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 33.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 45.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FTK — credit agreement
Dated 2026-09-23
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Senior Secured Term Loan Facility On September 23, 2026 (the “Closing Date”), Flotek Industries, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company” or “Borrower”), entered into a Credit Agreement (the “Credit Agreement”) with the lenders party thereto from time to time (the “Lenders”), Alter Domus (US) LLC, as administrative agent (the “Administrative Agent”), and Alter Domus (US) LLC, as collateral agent (the “Collateral Agent”), with an affiliate of Elda…
Why it matters: The Sept. 9 update raised 2026 revenue guidance to $360M–$370M. Q3 results test whether that pace continues.
Supportive ifOn Nov. 3, Q3 results and updated guidance keep full-year revenue at $360M or higher.
Worry ifQ3 results or updated guidance put full-year revenue below $360M.
Why it matters: Flotek raised its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA range in September. Q3 results will show whether earnings are keeping pace.
Supportive ifOn Nov. 3, results and guidance keep full-year Adjusted EBITDA at $50M or higher.
Worry ifOn Nov. 3, results or guidance put full-year Adjusted EBITDA below $50M.
Why it matters: The 10-year, $400M contract could add recurring sales beyond oil and gas. Its start depends on a deployment schedule.
Supportive ifFlotek or its customer names a firm start date and confirms the equipment is ready to work.
Worry ifA company filing or update reports a delayed start, a cut in contract scope, or a failed deployment plan.
Why it matters: Data Analytics made 51% of Q2 gross profit, its first time ahead of Chemistry. Another rise would show that growth is continuing.
Supportive ifQ3 Data Analytics revenue is above $19.2M, the record set in Q2 2026.
Worry ifQ3 Data Analytics revenue is at or below $19.2M, and its share of gross profit falls below 51%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$297 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $680 loss on $10,000 · 6.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,129 loss on $10,000 · 41.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.