Graco Inc. (GGG)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$69.78+0.90%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GGG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 0.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 8.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 39 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GGG — director transition
Dated 2026-09-14
Director — Richard B. Lewis: The filing discloses the appointment of a new director to the board and audit committee, which is a routine governance event rather than an executive departure.
Why it matters: Graco set a $30 million yearly savings goal for 2026. A progress update can show if its cost plan is working.
Supportive ifGraco reports at least $30 million in yearly cost savings from its FY2026 plan.
Worry ifGraco reports less than $30 million in yearly savings, or cuts its FY2026 goal.
Why it matters: Valco Melton adds $145 million in sales and new adhesive tools. Updates will show if the deal adds growth.
Watch forGraco reports Valco Melton sales growth and progress toward its 2026 synergy goal.
Also watch forGraco reports falling Valco Melton sales or says the deal's cost savings are behind plan.
Why it matters: Graco aims to grow revenue by 10% or more each year on average. Its latest reported quarter does not show if it is on pace.
Supportive ifFull-year revenue growth reaches or exceeds 10% year over year.
Worry ifFull-year revenue growth falls below 10% year over year, with no stronger growth from core products.
Why it matters: Graco said Industrial Finishing sales grew 20% in 2026 so far with an existing customer. Later results can test if that growth lasts.
Supportive ifGraco reports more Industrial Finishing sales than a year ago, after a 20% gain in 2026 year to date.
Worry ifGraco reports Industrial Finishing sales are flat or lower than a year ago.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$89 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $208 loss on $10,000 · 2.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,009 loss on $10,000 · 30.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.