Genworth Financial, Inc. (GNW)
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-11-05
$8.91-3.05%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GNW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -28.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -18.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 4 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GNW — CEO transition
Dated 2026-10-30
CEO — Thomas J. McInerney: The CEO is retiring with a named internal successor (Jerome T. Upton) already in place, indicating an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: CareScout is a growth effort, but matches slipped from 1,486 in Q1 to 1,459 in Q2. A rise would show more use of its service.
Supportive ifCareScout reports more than 1,459 matches in a later quarter.
Worry ifCareScout reports 1,459 or fewer matches in its next reported quarter.
Why it matters: Jerome Upton is set to become CEO, and Angela Simmons is set to become CFO. A smooth handoff would keep the current leadership plan on track.
Supportive ifOn Jan. 1, 2027, Upton takes the CEO role and Simmons takes the CFO role as announced.
Worry ifGenworth delays or changes either planned appointment before Jan. 1, 2027.
Why it matters: Genworth bought back $62 million of shares in Q2. Holding company cash was $215 million, including $81 million set aside for future bills.
Worry ifA later report shows no share repurchases. Holding company cash is below $166 million.
Less concerning ifA later report shows share repurchases. Holding company cash is at least $215 million.
Why it matters: The Closed Block loss rose to $110 million in Q2 from $32 million in Q1. Another large loss would add pressure to the legacy business.
Worry ifThe Nov. 4 report shows a Closed Block adjusted loss above $110 million.
Less concerning ifThe Nov. 4 report shows a Closed Block adjusted loss below $32 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$70 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $249 loss on $10,000 · 2.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,717 loss on $10,000 · 17.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.