Getty Realty Corp. (GTY)
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GTY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -6.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 19 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GTY — credit agreement
Dated 2026-10-19
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 16, 2026, Getty Realty Corp. (the “Company”) entered into the Second Amendment to Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the "Amended Credit Agreement") among certain of its subsidiaries, as guarantors (the “Guarantors”), and Bank of America, N.A., as Administrative Agent (the “Administrative Agent”), which amended the Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated as of January 23, 2025 (the “Existing Credit Agreement”), among…
Why it matters: Third-quarter AFFO per share rose to $0.64 from $0.62. A drop would break that recent growth pattern.
Worry ifIn the next reported quarter, AFFO per share is below the same quarter in 2025.
Less concerning ifIn the next reported quarter, AFFO per share matches or tops the same quarter in 2025.
Why it matters: Getty raised its 2026 AFFO range to $2.53-$2.54. The year-end result tests that higher goal.
Supportive ifGetty reports 2026 AFFO per diluted share of $2.53 or more.
Worry ifGetty reports 2026 AFFO per diluted share below $2.53 or cuts its guidance below $2.53.
Why it matters: The pipeline topped $75 million for 29 sites. Its timing depends on partners finishing projects and business deals.
Supportive ifGetty reports closing or funding at least $75 million of the pipeline and names the sites or tenants.
Worry ifThe pipeline falls below $75 million. Or reported closings and funding stay below that amount for the next two quarters.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$70 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $194 loss on $10,000 · 1.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,497 loss on $10,000 · 25.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.