Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. (HASI)
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
$40.38+5.18%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HASI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 4.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 6.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers
HASI — M&A activity — Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement
Dated 2026-07-20
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. On July 14, 2026, in connection with the Company’s entry into the New Credit Agreement described in
Why it matters: HASI links this investment plan to its growth outlook and limited share sales. A shortfall could put that plan under strain.
Supportive ifHASI reports at least $2 billion of new balance sheet and CCH1 investments in 2026.
Worry ifHASI reports less than $2 billion of those investments in 2026 or cuts its volume outlook.
Why it matters: HASI has kept its 2028 adjusted ROE goal above 17%. Its next reports can show progress toward that goal.
Supportive ifHASI reports adjusted ROE at or above 17% in 2028, while keeping that goal in place.
Worry ifHASI lowers its 2028 adjusted ROE goal below 17% or reports 2028 adjusted ROE below 17%.
Why it matters: Q2 adjusted EPS was $0.75, up from $0.60 a year earlier. A lower result would break that recent level.
Worry ifHASI reports Q3 adjusted EPS below $0.75.
Less concerning ifHASI reports Q3 adjusted EPS of at least $0.75 and keeps its 2026 range at $3.55–$3.65.
Why it matters: High yields on new assets support HASI's income growth. Lower yields could weaken that source of growth.
Supportive ifHASI reports new portfolio investment yields above 10% in the next quarter.
Worry ifHASI reports new portfolio investment yields at or below 10%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$90 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $263 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,826 loss on $10,000 · 18.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: HASI raised its 2026 adjusted EPS range to $3.55–$3.65. Results near the top would back that higher goal.
Supportive ifHASI reports adjusted EPS of at least $3.55 for 2026 and keeps its $3.55–$3.65 range.
Worry ifHASI cuts its 2026 adjusted EPS range below $3.55 or reports adjusted EPS below that level.