Host Hotels & Resorts (HST)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-11-04
$24.63-5.67%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HST
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -3.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HST — credit agreement
Dated 2026-10-26
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. See discussion of the bank credit facility set forth below in Item 2.03, which is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: Host raised its full-year room and total revenue growth outlook after strong Q2 results. Q3 results test whether that strength lasts.
Watch forQ3 comparable hotel RevPAR and Total RevPAR growth stay at or above 4.75% year over year. This keeps the full-year outlook in reach.
Also watch forQ3 comparable hotel RevPAR or Total RevPAR growth falls below 4.75% year over year, or Host cuts its full-year growth range.
Why it matters: Host plans major hotel upgrades and repairs. Spending above its range could strain cash, while project progress can support better hotel results.
Watch forHost reports 2026 capital spending within its $550 million to $630 million plan. It also completes more Marriott or Hyatt upgrades.
Also watch forHost raises the spending range above $630 million or reports delays in its Marriott or Hyatt upgrade work.
Why it matters: Host says insurance should cover most storm damage above the deductible. Higher costs or weak coverage would leave more expense with the company.
Worry ifFinal Kona Low storm costs top $32 million, or Host says insurance will not cover most costs above the deductible.
Less concerning ifFinal storm costs stay between $27 million and $32 million. Insurance covers most costs above the deductible.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$64 on $10,000 · ±0.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $253 loss on $10,000 · 2.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,527 loss on $10,000 · 15.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.