Host Hotels & Resorts (HST)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
$22.05+0.27%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HST
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -21.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 21.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HST — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2025-11-26
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. On November 26, 2025, Host Hotels & Resorts, L.P. (“ Host L.P. ”), for whom Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. acts as sole general partner, completed its underwritten public offering of $400 million aggregate principal amount of its 4.250% Series N senior notes due 2028 (the “ Series N senior notes ”). The offering of the Series N senior notes was made pursuant to an effective shelf re…
Why it matters: Growth in net income shows strong performance. It also means good cost management.
Supportive ifQ2 net income grows more than 10% compared to Q1.
Worry ifQ2 net income grows less than 5% compared to Q1.
Why it matters: Strong earnings would confirm the positive momentum seen in Q1 and support the growth narrative.
Supportive ifQ2 earnings per share beats consensus estimates by more than 10%.
Worry ifQ2 earnings per share misses consensus estimates by more than 10%.
Why it matters: This sale may affect cash flow and future investment plans.
Supportive ifThe Sheraton Parsippany sale will close at or above $15 million.
Worry ifThe Sheraton Parsippany sale does not close or is delayed a lot.
Why it matters: If Host raises its Total RevPAR growth guidance again, it shows strong demand trends. This would be a positive signal for future earnings.
Supportive ifHost raises its 2026 hotel Total RevPAR growth guidance to over 5.25%.
Worry ifHost keeps or lowers its 2026 hotel Total RevPAR growth guidance to under 4.75%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$86 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $253 loss on $10,000 · 2.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,527 loss on $10,000 · 15.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Higher EPS guidance shows better profits. This can attract more investor interest.
Supportive ifEPS guidance raised above $1.37.
Worry ifEPS guidance is kept or lowered below $1.30.
Why it matters: A decline may show weaker demand. This could affect revenue and future guidance.
Worry ifOccupancy rates were below 70% for Q3.
Less concerning ifOccupancy rates were above 75% for Q3.
Why it matters: A drop below this threshold would signal weakening demand and could impact future guidance.
Worry ifIn Q3, comparable hotels reported Total RevPAR growth of 4.75% or more year over year.
Less concerning ifIn Q3, similar hotels had Total RevPAR growth under 4.75% compared to last year.
Why it matters: More capital spending may show plans for growth or needed investments in the portfolio.
Supportive ifTotal capital spending was at least $550 million for 2026.
Worry ifTotal capital spending was less than $550 million for 2026.
Why it matters: The World Cup may increase hotel demand. This could help revenue and RevPAR.
Supportive ifHotel bookings rise a lot during the World Cup.
Worry ifHotel bookings remain flat or decline during the World Cup period.
Why it matters: Any changes could show shifts in the market or problems in operations.
Watch for2026 revenue guidance is raised above $3.5 billion.
Also watch for2026 revenue guidance is cut to below $3.2 billion.
Why it matters: Lower net income guidance may show operational problems. This could hurt investor confidence.
Worry if2026 net income guidance remains at or above $944 million.
Less concerning if2026 net income guidance revised down below $944 million.
Why it matters: Lower net income guidance may show problems in operations. This can hurt investor trust.
Worry ifQ3 net income guidance falls below $944 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 net income guidance rises above $962 million.
Why it matters: Staying above this level shows strong demand and good pricing power.
Supportive ifHotel RevPAR growth has been above 5% for two quarters in a row.
Worry ifHotel RevPAR growth drops below 4% for two quarters in a row.
Why it matters: This growth rate is a key indicator of demand strength. A drop would signal weakening performance.
Worry ifQ3 comparable hotel Total RevPAR growth falls below 4.75%.
Less concerning ifQ3 comparable hotel Total RevPAR growth meets or exceeds 5.25%.
Why it matters: More asset sales would help the capital plan. This would also increase cash flow.
Supportive ifTotal asset sales in 2026 exceed $500 million.
Worry ifTotal asset sales in 2026 are below $300 million.
Why it matters: The storm's impact could affect revenue and operations in Hawaii, which is key for the company.
Worry ifManagement says the Kona Low rainstorm has a small ongoing impact.
Less concerning ifManagement says the Kona Low rainstorm causes big ongoing problems.