HubSpot Inc (HUBS)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$247.60-2.95%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HUBS
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $248 HUBS trades at 36× p/e — 1.3× the 27× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $253 fair value is medium-confidence here. Analysts target $190–$382. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $250.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $364.13 | 27.4 | 13.27 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $44.40 | 13.6 | 1.87 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $281.56 | 18.6 | 15.16 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$190.00 – $382.00 (median $250.00) · 33 analysts · as of 2026-08-07
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $272.84 |
| 17.5 |
| 15.61 |
| ntm analyst |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $256.91 | 3.8 | 68.14 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $127.66 | 18.3 | 6.97 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $198.24 | 27.4 | 7.22 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $428.21 | 18.6 | 23.05 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $310.95 | 17.5 | 17.79 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $351.27 | 3.8 | 93.17 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $194.16 | 18.3 | 10.60 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $566.31 | 18.6 | 30.49 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $354.39 | 17.5 | 20.28 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $400.34 | 3.8 | 106.18 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $256.77 | 18.3 | 14.02 | Analyst | medium |