HYDROFARM HOLDINGS GROUP INC (HYFM)
NASDAQIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
$0.73-3.52%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HYFM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 7 industry peers
HYFM — private placement
Dated 2026-10-27
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Securities Purchase Agreement On October 27, 2026, Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a securities purchase agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with certain institutional investors, pursuant to which the Company agreed to sell to such investors in a registered direct offering (the “Registered Direct Offering”) 1,599,400 shares (the “Registered Shares”) of common stock, par value $0.0001, of the Company (the “Common Stock”)…
Why it matters: The planned debt payoff would remove the large term loan. The October 27 release says the deal still has conditions to meet.
Watch forA company filing confirms the term loan was paid off in full and the related liens were released.
Also watch forA company filing says the payoff conditions were not met, or the term loan remains outstanding.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$359 on $10,000 · ±3.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,201 loss on $10,000 · 12.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,787 loss on $10,000 · 77.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.