Reading HYFM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track HYFM free→Reading HYFM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track HYFM free→NASDAQIndustrialsFarm & Heavy Construction MachinerySnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company is unprofitable. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, it is below typical. The valuation grid is empty, so there is no valuation read. The overall read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.94. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.01x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
10 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=840).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$218.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$924.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $8,304.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for HYFM yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 15, 2026, Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02 (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
HYFM HYDROFARM HOLDINGS GROUP INC | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 4 of 100 | — | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company is exploring strategic alternatives to enhance liquidity and capital structure.
The company received a notice for non-compliance with Nasdaq's minimum stockholders' equity requirement.
The company appointed CBIZ CPAs P.C. as its new independent registered public accounting firm.
Changes in Registrant ’ s Certifying Accountant. The Audit Committee (the “Committee”) of the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc (the “Company”) undertook a selection process to determine the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. On April 14, 2026, the Committee approved the engagement of CBIZ CPAs P.C. (“CBIZ CPAs”) as its independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending Dec…
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On April 1, 2026, Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (the “Company”) received a letter (the “Letter”) from the Listing Qualifications Department of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) indicating that the Company was not in compliance with the minimum stockholders’ equity requirement for continued listing on the Nasdaq Capital Market, under Listing Rule 5550(b)(1), because the Company’s stockhol…
Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement. On April 8, 2026, Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), entered into that certain Forbearance Agreement (the “Forbearance Agreement”) with the other credit parties from time to time party thereto (the “Credit Parties”), the lenders from time to time party thereto (the “Lenders”), and FEAC Agent, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company (“FEAC”, as successor in interest to JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. (“JPMorgan”)) as…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 27, 2026, Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02 (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Secu…