Intuit (INTU)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$354.84-0.50%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · INTU
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 13.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 2.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 36 industry peers
INTU — dividend update
Dated 2026-08-25
OTHER EVENTS. On August 25, 2026, Intuit also announced that its Board of Directors approved a cash dividend of $1.38 per share. The cash dividend will be paid on October 16, 2026 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on October 8, 2026. Future declarations of dividends and the establishment of future record dates and payment dates are subject to the final determination of the Intuit Board of Directors. A copy of the press release announcing the cash dividend is furnished as E…
Why it matters: U.S. TurboTax units fell 2% in FY26. A larger drop would add to concern about customer growth.
Worry ifFY27 U.S. TurboTax units fall more than 2% year over year.
Less concerning ifFY27 U.S. TurboTax units are flat or grow year over year.
Why it matters: Intuit guides Mailchimp to flat or down 1% in FY27. Growth above zero would mark a return to growth.
Supportive ifFY27 Mailchimp revenue grows above 0% year over year.
Worry ifFY27 Mailchimp revenue falls below the guided 0% floor.
Why it matters: Big Bets grew 34% and made up 30% of FY26 revenue. New targets can show whether this growth plan is holding.
Watch forAt Investor Day, Intuit sets clear growth goals for Big Bets and reports progress toward them.
Also watch forAt Investor Day, Intuit cuts Big Bets growth goals or reports slower growth than 34%.
Why it matters: Intuit guides to 9% to 10% revenue growth in FY27. Growth below 9% would miss its stated range.
Worry ifA later FY27 update or reported result puts revenue growth below 9% year over year.
Less concerning ifReported FY27 revenue growth stays within or above the 9% to 10% guided range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$230 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $515 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,210 loss on $10,000 · 62.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: QuickBooks Online Accounting grew 20% in Q4. It is a key part of the Online Ecosystem.
Worry ifQuickBooks Online Accounting revenue growth falls below 20% year over year in a later quarter.
Less concerning ifQuickBooks Online Accounting revenue growth stays at or above 20% year over year.